Please help! I want to know if you can help me determine which team will have the best record against the spread at the end of the regular season. Each week, you can put your vote HERE. It only takes a second, and if together we can determine early a conclusive winner, picking that team (or set of teams) might give us another great strategy. After your vote, you will see a link to view the results overall and by week. Thanks in advance.
As for point spread picks for week four, here are these week's system results:
Unofficial Pick 1: Seattle -1

Unofficial Pick 2: Chicago +4

Unofficial Pick 3: Houston -3

Unofficial Pick 4: Cincinnati -3

Game | Vegas Line | Estimate | Prediction-Vegas | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|---|
SEATTLE @ ST LOUIS | 1 | 4.1 | 3.9 | 60.0% |
CHICAGO @ NY GIANTS | -4 | 7.4 | 11.4 | 58.1% |
HOUSTON @ OAKLAND | 3 | 9.9 | 6.9 | 56.0% |
CINCINNATI @ CLEVELAND | 3 | 5.3 | 2.3 | 54.7% |
INDIANAPOLIS @ JACKSONVILLE | 7.5 | 13.9 | 6.4 | 55.0% |
WASHINGTON @ PHILADELPHIA | -6 | -8.2 | -2.2 | 54.8% |
SAN FRANCISCO @ ATLANTA | -7 | -2.6 | 4.4 | 54.0% |
ARIZONA @ SAN DIEGO | -8 | -5.0 | 3.0 | 51.7% |
BALTIMORE @ PITTSBURGH | -1.5 | -3.0 | -1.5 | 51.4% |
DENVER @ TENNESSEE | -6.5 | -2.1 | 4.6 | 50.0% |
DETROIT @ GREEN BAY | -14.5 | -20.6 | -6.1 | 48.6% |
CAROLINA @ NEW ORLEANS | -13.5 | -21.6 | -8.1 | 47.8% |
NY JETS @ BUFFALO | 5.5 | 2.5 | -3.5 | 47.0% |
NEW ENGLAND @ MIAMI | 1 | 3 | 2.0 | 47.0% |
How to read the table:
- Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the spread favors the HOME team
- Estimate: NFL pickles spread estimate
- Pred-Vegas: Subtraction of the previous two. POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover spread.
- Confidence: The probability that the spread pick is on the correct side.