This week we have 5 premium picks. I have to get them out on Monday as I will be traveling without my data-crunching computer. Usually too many picks for my taste but it is what it is. I have lost betting Denver the last two weeks and KC is a homedog. SF at home by 1. The SD/BAL makes me a little nervous given that I don't know where the line is, but if I can't remove it. Finally, NE is going to Lambeau. There is one free computer-based predictions that doesn't look too bad and that's Carolina. We have two Thanksgiving night game and two day games on Sunday. Some notable mentions in the free picks include Arizona and Cleveland. This week we raise the bankroll to use 20% split evenly across the 5 NFL games, giving us a bet of about $400 per game. Below is our table with free NFL point spread predictions.
|DENVER @ KANSAS CITY||2||Buy premium picks||62.5%|
|SEATTLE @ SAN FRANCISCO||-1||61.0%|
|SAN DIEGO @ BALTIMORE||-4.5||59.3%|
|PHILADEPHIA @ DALLAS||-3||58.3%|
|NEW ENGLAND @ GREEN BAY||-3||58.1%|
|CAROLINA @ MINNESOTA||-2.5||2.1||4.4||56.5%|
|NY GIANTS @ JACKSONVILLE||3||0.4||-2.6||55.8%|
|OAKLAND @ ST LOUIS||-7||-7.7||-0.7||54.8%|
|NEW ORLEANS @ PITTSBURGH||-3||-4.8||-1.8||52.1%|
|CLEVELAND @ BUFFALO||-1.5||-7.0||-5.5||50.0%|
|ARIZONA @ ATLANTA||2.5||12.3||9.8||50.0%|
|CINCINNATI @ TAMPA BAY||4||12.6||8.6||49.9%|
|WASHINGTON @ INDIANAPOLIS||-10||-10.1||-0.1||48.4%|
|CHICAGO @ DETROIT||-7||-4.1||2.9||48.2%|
|TENNESSEE @ HOUSTON||-6||-9.9||-3.9||47.0%|
How to read the table:
- Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the point spread favors the HOME team
- Estimate: NFL Pickles' point spread prediction
- Pred-Vegas: Subtraction: POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover point spread.
- Confidence: The probability that the point spread pick is on the correct side.