Thank you for the encouragement, persistence, and belief. This is the beauty of the internet. If I was alone at home doing this, I probably would've stopped but your motivation keeps me going. Ok I promised I wouldn't cry.
Seriously, I know I've had my ups and downs but the last two years have been a downer, especially this one. I sure hope it is like you say, just part of the whole process and not a trend. It reminds me a bit about the global warming debate.
In 2007, the Giants were underdogs by 11.5. In this post, we picked the Giants and of course were correct. This year is a bit different. The Patriots don't have a perfect record and the spread is only 3. Without looking at the spread, I thought that I didn't think Tom Brady was going to let this one escape again. There isn't pressure to be perfect, but revenge. I think the Patriots want it more. I'm glad the predictions favor this feeling too, but barely. Patriots by 7.
Oh and if you are playing Super Bowl squares in draft mode, check this post. It's a bit old, but I don't think the probabilities have changed much.
If you haven't seen it, here is the preview commercial for Volkswagen, funniest video I've seen in a while.
This week we'll play 15% or $250 for the super bowl.
Here are the NFLpickles free point spread picks for the Super Bowl of the 2011 NFL season.
| Game | Vegas Line | Estimate | Prediction-Vegas | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEW YORK - NEW ENGLAND | -3 | -9.6 | -6.6 | 62.4% |
How to read the table:
- Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the spread favors the HOME team
- Estimate: NFL pickles spread estimate
- Pred-Vegas: Subtraction of the previous two. POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover spread.
- Confidence: The probability that the spread pick is on the correct side.





