Pick 2: Detroit +2.5
Pick 3: Denver -4.5
Another great week under our belts gets me pumped up for this week. I dislike betting against the top team according to ATS, but I also enjoy betting a homedog. Detroit should run and pass all over weakened Houston. Finally, Denver at home!
Increasing a bit more to 18% of bankroll, each game gets a $620 bet. Safe gambling!
| Game | Vegas Line | Estimate | Prediction-Vegas | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEW ENGLAND @ BUFFALO | 6.5 | 4.7 | -1.8 | 63.6% |
| DETROIT @ HOUSTON | -2.5 | 2.5 | 5.0 | 59.7% |
| SAN DIEGO @ DENVER | -4.5 | -11.1 | -6.6 | 58.8% |
| ARIZONA @ CAROLINA | -2.5 | -1.2 | 1.3 | 56.2% |
| GREEN BAY @ ATLANTA | -3 | 2.2 | 5.2 | 56.0% |
| KANSAS CITY @ INDIANAPOLIS | 3 | 5.8 | 2.8 | 55.3% |
| NY JETS @ CLEVELAND | 3 | 7.8 | 4.8 | 53.1% |
| PHILADELPHIA @ DALLAS | -4.5 | 4.1 | 8.6 | 51.6% |
| SEATTLE @ NEW ORLEANS | 3 | 5 | 1.5 | 50.0% |
| OAKLAND @ TAMPA BAY | 1 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 50.0% |
| MINNESOTA @ CHICAGO | 5.5 | 10.8 | 5.3 | 49.5% |
| JACKSONVILLE @ TENNESSEE | -3 | -3.5 | -0.5 | NA |
| CINCINNATI - WASHINGTON | 3 | -0.6 | -3.6 | NA |
How to read the table:
- Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the point spread favors the HOME team
- Estimate: NFL Pickles' point spread prediction
- Pred-Vegas: Subtraction: POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover point spread.
- Confidence: The probability that the point spread pick is on the correct side.