2016 NFL Point Spread Picks - Week 8

Pick 1: Buffalo +6.5 incorrect NFL point spread pick
Pick 2: Detroit +2.5 incorrect NFL point spread pick
Pick 3: Denver -4.5 correct NFL point spread pick

Another great week under our belts gets me pumped up for this week. I dislike betting against the top team according to ATS, but I also enjoy betting a homedog. Detroit should run and pass all over weakened Houston. Finally, Denver at home!

Increasing a bit more to 18% of bankroll, each game gets a $620 bet. Safe gambling!

GameVegas LineEstimatePrediction-VegasConfidence
NEW ENGLAND @ BUFFALO 6.5 4.7 -1.8 63.6%
DETROIT @ HOUSTON -2.5 2.5 5.0 59.7%
SAN DIEGO @ DENVER -4.5 -11.1 -6.6 58.8%
ARIZONA @ CAROLINA -2.5 -1.2 1.3 56.2%
GREEN BAY @ ATLANTA -3 2.2 5.2 56.0%
KANSAS CITY @ INDIANAPOLIS 3 5.8 2.8 55.3%
NY JETS @ CLEVELAND 3 7.8 4.8 53.1%
PHILADELPHIA @ DALLAS -4.5 4.1 8.6 51.6%
SEATTLE @ NEW ORLEANS 3 5 1.5 50.0%
OAKLAND @ TAMPA BAY 1 0.0 -1.0 50.0%
MINNESOTA @ CHICAGO 5.5 10.8 5.3 49.5%
JACKSONVILLE @ TENNESSEE -3 -3.5 -0.5 NA
CINCINNATI - WASHINGTON 3 -0.6 -3.6 NA

How to read the table:
  • Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the point spread favors the HOME team
  • Estimate: NFL Pickles' point spread prediction
  • Pred-Vegas: Subtraction: POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover point spread.
  • Confidence: The probability that the point spread pick is on the correct side.

4 comments:

ND Fowler said...

Don't like GB this week?

Jaime Brugueras said...

Typo after I changed a few parameter, but yes i like them just not as much.

Jaime Brugueras said...

1-2 so far, I'm going to add Philadelphia as a bet and try to come out even.

ND Fowler said...

Tough week.... I ended up taking Dallas and the overs to try to get back.