
Pick 2: San Diego -1

Pick 3: Carolina +3

I'm not sure how I'm still above 50%. It's been 3 losing weeks in a row and 4 of the last 5. It wasn't until week 10 perfect picks that I haven't seen profits. The disappointment is unbearing. Need to snap this streak big time.
This week we have 3 premium picks and we are keeping the bankroll at 25%. This gives us a bet of $650 per game for this week.
Game | Vegas Line | Estimate | Prediction-Vegas | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|---|
DETROIT @ GREEN BAY | -7.5 | -1.2 | 6.3 | 61.7% |
SAN DIEGO @ KANSAS CITY | 1 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 59.6% |
CAROLINA @ ATLANTA | -3 | 7.3 | 10.3 | 58.9% |
CINCINNATI @ PITTSBURGH | -3.5 | 6.7 | 10.2 | 55.2% |
INDIANAPOLIS @ TENNESSEE | 7 | 19.1 | 12.1 | 54.5% |
NEW ORLEANS @ TAMPA BAY | 4 | 7.2 | 3.2 | 53.8% |
PHILADELPHIA @ NY GIANTS | -2.5 | 6.0 | 8.5 | 52.9% |
DALLAS @ WASHINGTON | 4 | 2.9 | -1.1 | 52.1% |
OAKLAND @ DENVER | -14 | -18.6 | -4.6 | 51.8% |
ST LOUIS @ SEATTLE | -12 | -15.5 | -3.5 | 50.8% |
ARIZONA @ SAN FRANCISCO | -6.5 | -3.5 | 3.0 | 50.0% |
CHICAGO @ MINNESOTA | -6 | -6.2 | -0.2 | 50.0% |
BUFFALO @ NEW ENGLAND | -5 | -11.7 | -6.7 | 50.0% |
CLEVELAND @ BALTIMORE | -13.5 | -13.0 | 0.5 | 49.7% |
NY JETS @ MIAMI | -6 | -9.9 | -3.9 | 49.0% |
JACKSONVILLE @ HOUSTON | -9.5 | -16.8 | -7.3 | 46.1% |
How to read the table:
- Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the point spread favors the HOME team
- Estimate: NFL Pickles' point spread prediction
- Pred-Vegas: Subtraction: POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover point spread.
- Confidence: The probability that the point spread pick is on the correct side.