Pick 1: Seattle -7
Pick 2: San Francisco +6.5
Pick 3: Miami +4
Pick 4: Buffalo -5.5

After spending plenty of time doing research and enjoying the games (did you witness the Denver Vegas moment?!), my wife asked that I sell the picks. She understands the value that a VP in Analytics can provide to sports investors so she's encouraging me to do so (or else). I have posted 5 Reasons Why You Want to
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Many of you have followed me since I started in 2007 and know my record: 4 winning seasons in the past 6 years, and one break even. All my stats by year are on the side bar and you can access every pick I've made since 2007, that's transparency. Do notice that I've kept the majority of the picks free, but premium picks are only provided to members.
We raise the bankroll this week to use 18% of bankroll split evenly across 4 games giving us a bet of $490 per game. Here is the full list of NFL betting spread predictions for week 7:
SEATTLE @ ST LOUIS |
7 |
11.1 |
4.1 |
61.5% |
SAN FRANCISCO @ DENVER |
-6.5 |
-2.7 |
3.8 |
58.2% |
MIAMI @ CHICAGO |
-4 |
-1.5 |
2.5 |
58.1% |
MINNESOTA @ BUFFALO |
-5.5 |
-9.8 |
-4.3 |
58.0% |
ARIZONA @ OAKLAND |
4 |
8.8 |
4.8 |
56.7% |
KANSAS CITY @ SAN DIEGO |
-4 |
-3.0 |
1.0 |
55.5% |
CLEVELAND @ JACKSONVILLE |
6 |
8 |
2/0 |
55.3% |
NY JETS @ NEW ENGLAND * |
-10 |
-14.3 |
-4.3 |
54.3% |
TENNESSEE @ WASHINGTON |
-6 |
-7.2 |
-1.2 |
53.3% |
HOUSTON @ PITTSBURGH * |
-3.5 |
-3.7 |
-0.2 |
50.0% |
NEW ORLEANS @ DETROIT |
-3 |
-3.3 |
-0.3 |
50.0% |
CAROLINA @ GREEN BAY |
-7 |
-5.0 |
2.0 |
50.0% |
CINCINNATI @ INDIANAPOLIS |
-3.5 |
-1.5 |
2.0 |
48.3% |
NY GIANTS @ DALLAS |
-6.5 |
-10.2 |
-3.7 |
47.8% |
ATLANTA @ BALTIMORE |
-7 |
-11.0 |
-4.0 |
47.8% |
How to read the table:
- Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the point spread favors the HOME team
- Estimate: NFL Pickles' point spread prediction
- Pred-Vegas: Subtraction: POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover point spread.
- Confidence: The probability that the point spread pick is on the correct side.