I know many of you will still go ahead and use my picks, so I'll post them here anyways. It's going to be a very interesting week 17 especially for NFC games. Go Bears! Good luck and until the playoffs.
| Game | Vegas Line | Estimate | Prediction-Vegas | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAMPA BAY @ ATLANTA | -4 | -9.2 | -5.2 | 62.3% |
| NY JETS @ BUFFALO | -3.5 | 1.5 | 5.0 | 60.4% |
| CAROLINA @ NEW ORLEANS | -5 | -3.0 | 2.0 | 58.9% |
| JACKSONVILLE @ TENNESSEE | -4 | -3.5 | 0.5 | 55.0% |
| DALLAS @ WASHINGTON | -3 | -4.3 | -1.3 | 52.6% |
| OAKLAND @ SAN DIEGO | -7 | -13.7 | -6.7 | 52.1% |
| CLEVELAND @ PITTSBURGH | -6 | -8.8 | -2.8 | 51.9% |
| PHILADELPHIA @ NY GIANTS | -7 | -9.0 | -2.0 | 51.9% |
| CHICAGO @ DETROIT | 3 | 5.3 | 2.3 | 50.7% |
| BALTIMORE @ CINCINNATI | -2.5 | -1.3 | 1.2 | 50.6% |
| ST LOUIS @ SEATTLE | -11 | -9.4 | 1.6 | 50.0% |
| ARIZONA @ SAN FRANCISCO | -16.5 | -15.3 | 1.2 | 50.0% |
| GREEN BAY @ MINNESOTA | 3 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 50.0% |
| MIAMI @ NEW ENGLAND | -10 | -9.8 | 0.2 | 50.0% |
| KANSAS CITY @ DENVER | -16 | -24.5 | -8.5 | 49.5% |
| HOUSTON @ INDIANAPOLIS | 7 | 5.6 | -1.4 | 49.0% |
How to read the table:
- Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the spread favors the HOME team
- Estimate: NFL pickles spread estimate
- Pred-Vegas: Subtraction of the previous two. POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover spread.
- Confidence: The probability that the spread pick is on the correct side.
