Week 16 2012 NFL Point Spread Picks

Pick 1: New England -14 incorrect NFL point spread pick
Pick 2: New Orleans +3 correct NFL point spread pick
Pick 3: San Diego +2.5 correct NFL point spread pick
Pick 4: Green Bay -13 correct NFL point spread pick

We follow another good week with four NFL picks, two of which are bets on huge blowouts. There might not be official picks for week 17 unless two teams are a pick and contending for the playoffs.

We keep week 16 at 20% of bankroll; this week we have $300 a game for 4 games. Below is the complete list of our NFL computerized predictions.

GameVegas LineEstimatePrediction-VegasConfidence
NEW ENGLAND @ JACKSONVILLE 14 22.4 7.9 60.0%
NEW ORLEANS @ DALLAS -3 0.8 3.8 59.6%
SAN DIEGO @ NY JETS -2.5 1.2 3.7 59.6%
TENNESSEE @ GREEN BAY -13 -18.0 -5.0 59.0%
MINNESOTA @ HOUSTON -7.5 -5.5 2.0 55.8%
INDIANAPOLIS @ KANSAS CITY 6.5 9.4 2.9 50.0%
CHICAGO @ ARIZONA 5.5 1.5 -4.0 50.0%
WASHINGTON @ PHILADELPHIA 4.5 6.1 1.6 50.0%
ATLANTA @ DETROIT 4 5.3 1.3 50.0%
OAKLAND @ CAROLINA -8.5 -16.2 -7.7 50.0%
SAN FRANCISCO @ SEATTLE 1 2.4 1.4 50.0%
CINCINNATI @ PITTSBURGH -4 -2.7 1.3 50.0%
ST LOUIS @ TAMPA BAY -3 -3.7 -0.7 49.9%
NY GIANTS @ BALTIMORE 2.5 1.5 -1.0 49.9%
CLEVELAND @ DENVER -13.5 -15 -1.5 49.0%
BUFFALO @ MIAMI -4.5 -10.7 -6.2 48.5%


How to read the table:
  • Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the spread favors the HOME team
  • Estimate: NFL pickles spread estimate
  • Pred-Vegas: Subtraction of the previous two. POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover spread.
  • Confidence: The probability that the spread pick is on the correct side.

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