Week 14 2012 NFL Point Spread Picks

Pick 1: St. Louis +3
Pick 2: Denver -10
Pick 3: NY Jets -2.5
Pick 4: Indianapolis -5.5

Two weeks of losses so it's time to get up. Our computer is now weighing heavier this season than the last. You can see it reflected in this week's picks. We have three visiting teams as picks and Indianapolis at home favorite.Three weeks left of picks in the regular season and then playoffs.

We continue week 14 at 18% of bankroll which decreased this week because of last week's loss; now to $245 a game for four games.

Game	Vegas Line	Estimate	Prediction-Vegas	Confidence
ST LOUIS @ BUFFALO	-3	3.0	6.0	62.9%
DENVER @ OAKLAND	10	17.3	7.3	59.5%
NY JETS @ JACKSONVILLE	2.5	12.9	10.4	58.5%
TENNESSEE @ INDIANAPOLIS	-5.5	-9.5	-4.0	58.3%
KANSAS CITY @ CLEVELAND	-5.5	-8.8	-3.3	55.8%
DALLAS @ CINCINNATI	-3	-4.9	-1.9	53.3%
HOUSTON @ NEW ENGLAND	-4	-5.5	-1.5	53.3%
MIAMI @ SAN FRANCISCO	-10	-10.5	-0.5	52.6%
BALTIMORE @ WASHINGTON	-1.5	-0.1	1.4	52.6%
CHICAGO @ MINNESOTA	3	5	2	51.7%
PHILADELPHIA @ TAMPA BAY	-7	-9.2	-2.2	50.9%
DETROIT @ GREEN BAY	-6.5	-9.0	-2.5	50.9%
NEW ORLEANS @ NY GIANTS	-5	-3.1	1.9	50.0%
ARIZONA @ SEATTLE	-10.5	-8.8	1.7	50.0%
ATLANTA @ CAROLINA	3.5	5.1	1.6	49.3%
SAN DIEGO @ PITTSBURGH	OFF	-3.3

How to read the table:

• Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the spread favors the HOME team
• Estimate: NFL pickles spread estimate
• Pred-Vegas: Subtraction of the previous two. POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover spread.
• Confidence: The probability that the spread pick is on the correct side.