Pick 2: Indianapolis -3
Two games this week were teams have something to play for, the playoffs. Well, maybe Oakland although not mathematically out of it, slight chance of making it. Better for the Colts who need a must win to clinch or be in a better position in their division. The Packers-Giants game is huge for the Giants. Here again, the Packers are in a similar position as the Raiders, not completely out but pretty much. I expect the Giants to come out furious after last week's devastating loss.
Bring it it down a bit to save for the playoffs, using 20% of bankroll we designate approximately $200 to each game.
Next week there will be no picks.
| Game | Vegas Line | Estimate | Prediction-Vegas | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NY GIANTS @ GREEN BAY | -3 | 3.9 | 6.9 | 64.5% |
| INDIANAPOLIS @ OAKLAND | 3 | 17.6 | 14.6 | 60.5% |
| NY JETS @ CHICAGO | -1 | -2.6 | -1.6 | 58.0% |
| DETROIT @ MIAMI | -3.5 | -1.3 | 2.2 | 56.6% |
| HOUSTON @ DENVER | 3 | 6.9 | 3.9 | 55.8% |
| BALTIMORE @ CLEVELAND | 3 | 10.5 | 7.5 | 55.6% |
| CAROLINA @ PITTSBURGH | -14.5 | -16.9 | -2.4 | 52.4% |
| MINNESOTA @ PHILADELPHIA | -14 | -9.0 | 5.0 | 52.2% |
| NEW ORLEANS @ ATLANTA | -2.5 | -0.7 | 1.8 | 51.6% |
| NEW ENGLAND @ BUFFALO | 8 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 51.5% |
| SEATTLE @ TAMPA BAY | -6 | -14.2 | -8.2 | 50.0% |
| WASHINGTON @ JACKSONVILLE | -7 | 2.2 | 9.2 | 50.0% |
| SAN DIEGO @ CINCINNATI | 7.5 | 23.9 | 16.4 | 49.1% |
| DALLAS @ ARIZONA | 6.5 | 3.5 | -3 | 48.1% |
| SAN FRANCISCO @ ST LOUIS | -2 | 6.2 | 8.2 | 48.0% |
| TENNESSEE @ KANSAS CITY | -5 | -8.0 | -3.0 | 47.5% |
How to read the table:
- Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the spread favors the HOME team
- Estimate: NFL pickles spread estimate
- Pred-Vegas: Subtraction of the previous two. POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover spread.
- Confidence: The probability that the spread pick is on the correct side.