Pick 2: Indianapolis -4.5
We continue to either win big or go home by continuing the 30% of bankroll. This puts us at $1200 a game for the 2 games (plus a a big parlay) we have going on this week. Good luck to all of us including the chicken making picks on Twitter, hilarious.
| Game | Vegas Line | Estimate | Prediction-Vegas | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEW ENGLAND @ MIAMI | 9.5 | 7.0 | -2.5 | 63.6% |
| JACKSONVILLE @ INDIANAPOLIS | -4.5 | -5.2 | -0.7 | 60.0% |
| CAROLINA @ TAMPA BAY | -5.5 | -9.3 | -3.8 | 56.1% |
| KANSAS CITY @ SAN DIEGO | 6 | 16.1 | 10.1 | 55.5% |
| CLEVELAND @ PITTSBURGH | -6 | -3.0 | 3.0 | 54.8% |
| SEATTLE @ SAN FRANCISCO | 9.5 | 3.6 | -5.9 | 53.7% |
| HOUSTON @ TENNESSEE | -3 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 50.4% |
| BALTIMORE @ CINCINNATI | -2 | 4.2 | 6.2 | 51.1% |
| CHICAGO @ MINNESOTA | -5 | -3 | 2 | 50.0% |
| ARIZONA @ LOS ANGELES | 6 | 0.1 | -5.9 | 50.0% |
| OAKLAND@ DENVER | -2 | -3.5 | -1.5 | 49.4% |
| GREEN BAY @ DETROIT | 3.5 | 6.5 | 3.0 | 49.0% |
| BUFFALO @ NY JETS | 3.5 | -7.2 | -10.7 | 48.0% |
| DALLAS @ PHILADELPHIA | -3.5 | 1.8 | 5.3 | NA |
| NY GIANTS @ WASHINGTON | -7.5 | -3.0 | 4.5 | NA |
| NEW ORLEANS @ ATLANTA | -6.5 | -16.8 | -10.3 | NA |
How to read the table:
- Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the point spread favors the HOME team
- Estimate: NFL Pickles' point spread prediction
- Pred-Vegas: Subtraction: POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover point spread.
- Confidence: The probability that the point spread pick is on the correct side.
