2016 NFL Point Spread Picks - Week 14
Pick 1: Carolina -1 
Pick 2: Indianapolis -6
Pick 3: New York Jets +2.5
Pick 4*: Denver -1
Waiting on Sieman's status for Denver's pick, will update later this week. Thank you all for those who keep encouraging me. My patience and trust is at rock bottom.
How to read the table:
Pick 2: Indianapolis -6
Pick 3: New York Jets +2.5
Pick 4*: Denver -1
Waiting on Sieman's status for Denver's pick, will update later this week. Thank you all for those who keep encouraging me. My patience and trust is at rock bottom.
| Game | Vegas Line | Estimate | Prediction-Vegas | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAN DIEGO @ CAROLINA | -1 | -6.5 | -5.5 | 65.0% |
| HOUSTON @ INDIANAPOLIS | -6 | -9.9 | -3.9 | 57.9% |
| NY JETS @ SAN FRANCISCO | -2.5 | 5.1 | 7.6 | 56.4% |
| DENVER* @ TENNESSEE | 1 | 7.9 | 6.9 | 57.1% |
| CHICAGO @ DETROIT | -9 | -3.9 | 5.1 | 55.5% |
| OAKLAND @ KANSAS CITY | -3 | -8.3 | -5.3 | 54.5% |
| PITTSBURGH @ BUFFALO | 2.5 | -1.9 | -4.4 | 54.0% |
| SEATTLE @ GREEN BAY | 3 | 6.1 | 3.1 | 53.1% |
| DALLAS @ NY GIANTS | 3.5 | 3.2 | -0.3 | 52.0% |
| ARIZONA @ MIAMI | -1.5 | -0.8 | 0.7 | 51.6% |
| BALTIMORE @ NEW ENGLAND | -7 | -12.9 | -5.9 | 50.0% |
| MINNESOTA @ JACKSONVILLE | 3.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 50.0% |
| ATLANTA @ LOS ANGELES | 6 | 11.3 | 5.3 | 50.0% |
| CINCINNATI @ CLEVELAND | 6 | 5 | 1.0 | 49.0% |
| NEW ORLEANS @ TAMPA BAY | -2.5 | -7 | -4.5 | 48.5% |
| WASHINGTON @ PHILADELPHIA | 1 | -3.0 | -4.0 | 46.4% |
How to read the table:
- Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the point spread favors the HOME team
- Estimate: NFL Pickles' point spread prediction
- Pred-Vegas: Subtraction: POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover point spread.
- Confidence: The probability that the point spread pick is on the correct side.
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