2011 NFL Point Spread Picks Week 7
Updated: Oct 20: removed Houston for injuries, added BAL and GB similar reasons.
Pick 1:
Houston +3
Pick 1: Indianapolis +14
Pick 2: Cleveland -3 PUSH
Pick 3: Washington +2.5
Pick 4: Baltimore -7.5
Pick 5: Green Bay -8.5
Last week the picks went 2-2 and the week before that 3-2, not good, but at least better than past seasons for this time. Staying afloat and winning a bit is good for this early in the season with hopes that by the end of the season, as its happened in previous years, the models pick up some good inefficiencies. It won't hurt though to have a great week this week 7. Lets make it happen.
This week we'll increment slightly to 16% of bankroll. Giving us approximately (rounded)
$125$100 per game for a total of $500.
I personally would've picked Green Bay again this week. Best football team right now, and last week Minnesota took a beating literally. Every bet I've made this year for Houston has lost so not too excited about my top pick, prove me wrong Texans. I like Cleveland and Baltimore, but the Ravens didn't make the cut (but now they do). Good luck and go Bears!
Here are the NFLpickles free point spread picks for Week 7 of the 2011 NFL season.
How to read the table:
Pick 1: Indianapolis +14
Pick 2: Cleveland -3 PUSH
Pick 3: Washington +2.5
Pick 4: Baltimore -7.5
Pick 5: Green Bay -8.5
Last week the picks went 2-2 and the week before that 3-2, not good, but at least better than past seasons for this time. Staying afloat and winning a bit is good for this early in the season with hopes that by the end of the season, as its happened in previous years, the models pick up some good inefficiencies. It won't hurt though to have a great week this week 7. Lets make it happen.
This week we'll increment slightly to 16% of bankroll. Giving us approximately (rounded)
I personally would've picked Green Bay again this week. Best football team right now, and last week Minnesota took a beating literally. Every bet I've made this year for Houston has lost so not too excited about my top pick, prove me wrong Texans. I like Cleveland and Baltimore, but the Ravens didn't make the cut (but now they do). Good luck and go Bears!
Here are the NFLpickles free point spread picks for Week 7 of the 2011 NFL season.
| Game | Vegas Line | Estimate | Prediction-Vegas | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOUSTON @ TENNESSEE | -3 | 2.1 | 5.1 | |
| INDIANAPOLIS @ NEW ORLEANS | -14 | -5.6 | 8.4 | 62.5% |
| SEATTLE @ CLEVELAND | -3 | -6.1 | -3.1 | 59.8% |
| WASHINGTON @ CAROLINA | -2.5 | 11.8 | 14.3 | 58.4% |
| BALTIMORE @ JACKSONVILLE | 7.5 | 11.0 | 3.5 | 56.0% |
| GREEN BAY @ MINNESOTA | 8.5 | 11.5 | 3.0 | 55.0% |
| PITTSBURGH @ ARIZONA | 3.5 | 12.3 | 8.8 | 51.0% |
| ST LOUIS @ DALLAS | -13 | -8.5 | 4.5 | 50.1% |
| ATLANTA @ DETROIT | -3.5 | -1.0 | 2.5 | 50.0% |
| KANSAS CITY @ OAKLAND | -3.5 | -5 | -1.5 | 50.0% |
| DENVER @ MIAMI | -2 | -4.3 | -2.3 | 50.0% |
| CHICAGO - TAMPA BAY | 1 | -2.2 | -3.2 | 50.0% |
| SAN DIEGO @ NY JETS | 2 | 5 | 3 | 49.0% |
How to read the table:
- Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the spread favors the HOME team
- Estimate: NFL pickles spread estimate
- Pred-Vegas: Subtraction of the previous two. POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover spread.
- Confidence: The probability that the spread pick is on the correct side.
Comments
I had a very bad week last week going 0 for 4 against your picks. I'm hoping to make a change this week, but I won't post my picks until later on. I did want to comment on Houston though. That offense is very dependant on 2 things....Arien Foster and Andre Johnson. Since Tennessee has a rush defense in the top 10 of the league and Andre is doubtful for the game I would strongly suggest re-considering this game. Anyway, there's my 2 cents for now.
Jaime, you may find a new page I created helpful. You can quickly check QB status here.
NO -14
SEA +3
CAR -2.5
BAL -7.5
GB -8.5
This is a weird week...I guess we'll see how it plays out. Good luck.
You were right about houston. I will take fulll responsibility for that mistake. Maybe from now on I will stick to just showing my picks vs yours.