NFL Machine Learning Picks - Week 14

Admittedly, last week was horrible. Even the past few weeks have been disappointing. After a 3-0 ATS week, we went 2-2, 3-2, and 1-2 last week. We stay focus, research player injuries, adjust to playoff contention, and provide you the goods for you to make wise decisions.

SEATTLE -3.5

Dang, only a half point better at home for Seattle against Sam Darnold. This spread is low because yes the Seahawks have disappointed by having lost ATS the last 3 after covering 4 in a row. The Panthers on the other hand have covered the last 3 weeks. This is the high-level bias bringing this spread to what it is vs 6 to 7 points.

- Seattle is in second place and this is the easiest game for their schedule. A must win to stay in the playoff race. They want it more.

- With good confidence, the models predict the Seahawks to cover this and win by at least a TD.

- Sam Darnold on the road is 7-18 SU and ATS.

- The only worry is Carolina's running game against a bottom half rush D.

- Bottom line: similarly ranked Ds, Seahawks with a huge passing game that can score quick.

SAN FRANCISCO -3.5

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers coming from a miracle win against a lousy Colts team. You were able to see the difference in the offensive line without Wirth. They have lost 2 pro-bowlers on the o-line and Brady is yelling at the subs bc he's not getting the protection. Now they face the toughest defense in the league which is playing better every day. That's the angle. I know Jimmy is out and we're dealing with a back up QB but his teammates have praised Purdy of his physical talents. The Bucs rush D is nowhere where it used to be. They are still ranked 10th but similar to Baltimore, it's going the wrong direction. Deebo and McCaffrey to have big games. San Francisco wins by 10.

Two more solid picks found here.