NFL Machine Learning Picks - Week 10

Another great and perfect week last week. I gave you Baltimore here free on MNF. This week's free pick is (make sure to see all my picks on Rokfin).

Kansas City -9.5

Is this a trap? Am I getting sucked in because it is not 10? Maybe, but it's time for this KC team to have another blowout. Last week we were on Tennessee because they got 12 points and now Jacksonville gets 9.5? 

  • Surprisingly, the split is not favoring KC by much. Not a chalk play.
  • Lawrence is 3-11 ATS on the road, 9-19 lifetime ATS.
  • Jaguars ranked 27th against the pass. KC 20th against the run, not great and hopefully enough to stop Etienne
  • Let down spot? Back cover? If it was above 10 I would agree, but the backdoor could simply be to end at -10
  • Models off the chart on this game. All consistently near -17 points. 

Go to to get all my picks.