Week 14 NFL Machine Learning Picks

3-1 for the top picks and 10 of 15 ATS all games last week. Better days are around the corner and we started rounding the corner last week. This week I got 5 top picks the models are excited about and a few others worth mentioning for teasers. Let's get right to it.

Atlanta -2.5

The Chargers are done and out. Usually, I wouldn't be too excited to bet against a team that just lost 45-0, but in the case of the Chargers I think they're hanging up the towel while Atlanta players want to put up stats. After an 0-5 start, the Falcons are 4-3 and interim coach Raheem Morris is probably thinking the same. Julio Jones as usual is questionable so we'll have to monitor that. Atlanta will need all its weapons. The Chargers D is ok ranking 9th in pass yds per game and 6th in pass yds per attempt. Yet they still allow over 28 points per game. On the other hand, the Falcons are ranked 29th in passing D which is the Chargers strong suit. Yet the model is up to something here and the momentum seem to be on the visiting team.

Green Bay -9

Don't overthink it. Detroit sucks. Galloday is out. The Packers are eyeing that #1 spot in the conference. The Packers are blowing out their opponents. Their offense is ranked #2 in DVOA and #1 in points scored. They are +80 point differential, 4th in the league. Aaron Rodgers is leading in TDs and passer rating and their rushing attack isn't something to dismiss either. All my models had this game over 10 points. Catching it at a single digit is a blessing. I believe the line quickly moved to 9 after opening at 7.5.

All other picks on my Rokfin channel.