Super Bowl 53 Point Spread Pick

Super Bowl Pick: Patriots -2.5 correct NFL point spread pick

So happy I didn't participate in the Rams-Saints game and went all in on the Patriots! I would've actually cared about the missed call. Now I'm happy that a very young QB and coach, who may not deserve to be there, are only 2.5 underdogs to the greatest NFL dynasty. Listen, I don't always bet on the Patriots, last year the spread was too big and I predicted the Eagles to win. I've posted my Super Bowl picks for the last 10 years and I'm 9-1 ATS with the only loss the 2010 Super Bowl win by the Saints. Again, kind of happy they didn't make it.

Goff has thrown for what like 1 TD during the whole playoffs? Todd Gurley hasn't played well in the last like 8 games. The Rams defense will be hit by a good run offense from Michel, White, and Patterson. When they think they will figure out then Tom Brady will call an audible and connect with Edelman and Gronk. The Patriots are so unpredictable, so strategic, so smart. You might hate them and sure we'd like most times for the underdog to win, but the numbers aren't there. I don't know either what the qualitative analysis would be to side with the Rams. The public and sharps money is on the Patriots. The books have taken enough from us this year, it's time to level things out. All in on the Patriots!

GameVegas LineEstimatePrediction-VegasConfidence
LA RAMS @ NEW ENGLAND -2.50 -10.40 -7.95 58.54

How to read the table:
  • Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the point spread favors the HOME team
  • Estimate: NFL Pickles' point spread prediction
  • Pred-Vegas: Subtraction: POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover point spread.
  • Confidence: The probability that the point spread pick is on the correct side.