NFL Point Spread Picks - Week 11
Pick 1: Arizona -4
Pick 2: Kansas City +3.5
Pick 3: Tampa Bay +1
Pick 4: Seattle -2.5
Last week we almost swept, so close! I'm not going to complain about a 3-1 week, but do hope for a sweep soon since I almost tasted it. I'm even more confident of the models and the process this year. Here's what we got going for NFL spread picks this week:
1) Fade Oakland once again.
2) Why isn't KC a pick? Wrong home field advantage. Now in LA, still ok.
3) I know it lost, but we gotta keep fading the Giants. Tampa can score more than SF.
4) Seattle is under-rated again. Their D will keep them and win this game.
How to read the table:
Pick 2: Kansas City +3.5
Pick 3: Tampa Bay +1
Pick 4: Seattle -2.5
Last week we almost swept, so close! I'm not going to complain about a 3-1 week, but do hope for a sweep soon since I almost tasted it. I'm even more confident of the models and the process this year. Here's what we got going for NFL spread picks this week:
1) Fade Oakland once again.
2) Why isn't KC a pick? Wrong home field advantage. Now in LA, still ok.
3) I know it lost, but we gotta keep fading the Giants. Tampa can score more than SF.
4) Seattle is under-rated again. Their D will keep them and win this game.
Game | Vegas Line | Estimate | Prediction-Vegas | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|---|
OAKLAND @ ARIZONA | -4.0 | -15.00 | -11.00 | 61.89 |
KANSAS CITY @ LA RAMS | -3.5 | 3.70 | 7.17 | 59.64 |
TAMPA BAY @ NY GIANTS | -1.0 | 3.20 | 4.20 | 58.60 |
GREEN BAY @ SEATTLE | -2.5 | -10.00 | -7.50 | 58.54 |
MINNESOTA @ CHICAGO | -3.0 | 4.00 | 7.00 | 55.92 |
TENNESSEE @ INDIANAPOLIS | -2.5 | 4.00 | 6.50 | 55.56 |
DENVER @ LA CHARGERS | -7.0 | -11.30 | -4.33 | 54.90 |
HOUSTON @ WASHINGTON | 3.0 | -2.70 | -5.67 | 54.84 |
PHILADELPHIA @ NEW ORLEANS | -9.0 | -6.10 | 2.85 | 52.81 |
DALLAS @ ATLANTA | -3.5 | -4.00 | -0.50 | 50.00 |
PITTSBURGH @ JACKSONVILLE | 5.5 | 6.00 | 5.10 | 50.00 |
CAROLINA @ DETROIT | 4.0 | 0.70 | -3.33 | 50.82 |
CINCINNATI @ BALTIMORE | -4.00 | -10.70 | -6.67 | NA |
How to read the table:
- Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the point spread favors the HOME team
- Estimate: NFL Pickles' point spread prediction
- Pred-Vegas: Subtraction: POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover point spread.
- Confidence: The probability that the point spread pick is on the correct side.
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