NFL Spread Picks - Week 10, 2017

Pick 1: Arizona +6.5 correct NFL point spread pick
Pick 2: Jacksonville -3.5 incorrect NFL point spread pick
Pick 3: Detroit -11.5 correct NFL point spread pick
Pick 4: Cincinnati +4.5 correct NFL point spread pick
Pick 5: LA Rams -12 correct NFL point spread pick

The trash TD and 2-point conversion by overpaid Jay Cutler continued our winning streak. I wish I had waited longer for this and gotten the extra half point and it would've been a win vs a push. This week we have a some big favorites, a home dog and an easy money win from Jacksonville. Although I don't like super heavy favorites, I also like betting against really crappy teams hence bet against Cleveland and Houston.

This NFL week 10 we continue with 18% of bankroll which gives us roughly a $400 bet per game. Let us know what your picks are and if you agree/disagree with these picks.

GameVegas LineEstimatePrediction-VegasConfidence
SEATTLE @ ARIZONA 6.5 3.00 -3.50 60.9
LA CHARGERS @ JACKSONVILLE -3.5 -16.50 -13.00 60.6
CLEVELAND @ DETROIT -11.5 -16.50 -5.00 59.0
CINCINNATI @ TENNESSEE -4.5 -1.90 2.56 58.6
HOUSTON @ LA RAMS -12.0 -22.50 -10.50 57.3
NY JETS @ TAMPA BAY 2.5 -1.00 -3.50 56.4
NEW ORLEANS @ BUFFALO 2.5 3.90 1.43 54.5
MINNESOTA @ WASHINGTON 1.5 -1.80 -3.33 53.3
PITTSBURGH @ INDIANAPOLIS 10.0 20.00 10.00 53.4
NEW ENGLAND @ DENVER 7.5 7.80 0.30 50.3
DALLAS @ ATLANTA -3.0 -2.50 0.50 50.3
MIAMI @ CAROLINA -9.0 -16.20 -7.22 49.8
NY GIANTS @ SAN FRANCISCO 1.0 3.20 2.17 48.0
GREEN BAY @ CHICAGO -5.0 -6.40 -1.35 NA

How to read the table:
  • Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the point spread favors the HOME team
  • Estimate: NFL Pickles' point spread prediction
  • Pred-Vegas: Subtraction: POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover point spread.
  • Confidence: The probability that the point spread pick is on the correct side.

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