NFL Point Spread Picks - Week 12

Pick 1: Buffalo +10 correct NFL point spread pick
Pick 2: Jacksonville -5 incorrect NFL point spread pick
Pick 3: Philadelphia -13.5 correct NFL point spread pick
Pick 4: Indianapolis +3.5 incorrect NFL point spread pick
Pick 5 MNF: Baltimore -7 PUSH

Another great week last week going 3-1 ATS. The one loss could've been avoided by staying off that game due to the injuries at Seattle. Anyways, this Thanksgiving week we'll continue to roll with a big dog in Buffalo, heavy favorites Jaguars and Eagles, and taking a home dog in the Colts.

Keeping the bankroll at a healthy 22%. With four solid NFL picks this week we get about $725 per game (based on our current bankroll). Hope you are thankful to all the great things you have in life including these great picks coming out of my machine this year.

GameVegas LineEstimatePrediction-VegasConfidence
BUFFALO @ KANSAS CITY -10.0 -5.20 4.78 70.37
JACKSONVILLE @ ARIZONA 5.0 8.20 3.18 60.87
CHICAGO @ PHILADELPHIA -13.5 -16.20 -2.75 58.56
TENNESSEE @ INDIANAPOLIS 3.5 -3.70 -7.17 58.52
MIAMI @ NEW ENGLAND -16.5 -25.70 -9.21 55.83
HOUSTON @ BALTIMORE -7.0 -14.50 -7.46 54.62
TAMPA BAY @ ATLANTA -10.0 -13.40 -3.43 53.00
CAROLINA @ NY JETS 4.5 9.70 5.19 52.56
DENVER @ OAKLAND -5.0 -3.50 1.46 52.56
NEW ORLEANS @ LA RAMS -2.5 -11.20 -8.68 51.85
CLEVELAND @ CINCINNATI -9.0 -7.00 2.00 51.57
NY GIANTS @ WASHINGTON -7.5 -2.90 4.61 51.22
LA CHARGERS @ DALLAS -1.0 4.20 5.21 50.00
MINNESOTA @ DETROIT 3.0 3.10 0.10 49.41
SEATTLE @ SAN FRANCISCO 7.0 13.50 6.48 48.00
GREEN BAY @ PITTSBURGH -14.0 -9.30 4.67 NA

How to read the table:
  • Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the point spread favors the HOME team
  • Estimate: NFL Pickles' point spread prediction
  • Pred-Vegas: Subtraction: POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover point spread.
  • Confidence: The probability that the point spread pick is on the correct side.

1 comments:

Jaime Brugueras said...

Win or lose, no draw. Adding MNF game to this week's pick. Baltimore -7 buy the half point if you need to.