2016 NFL Point Spread Picks - Conference Playoffs

Pick 1: Patriots -6

Betting Patriots all in. Should bet Falcons, but I cannot see myself betting against Rodgers right now.

Game	Vegas Line	Estimate	Prediction-Vegas	Confidence
PITTSBURGH @ NEW ENGLAND	-6	-11.7	-5.7	61.0%
GREEN BAY @ ATLANTA	-4	-6.6	-2.6	53.4%

How to read the table:

• Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the point spread favors the HOME team
• Estimate: NFL Pickles' point spread prediction
• Pred-Vegas: Subtraction: POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover point spread.
• Confidence: The probability that the point spread pick is on the correct side.

2016 NFL Point Spread Picks - Divisional Playoffs

Pick 1: Atlanta -5
Pick 2: Kansas City -1.5
Pick 3: Dallas -4

This week has been the worst most saddest weeks of my life. Mom please send me some luck from heaven, if you can't that's all right, I've hit bottom anyways here at NFLpickles. Bet all home teams this week. Good luck.

Game	Vegas Line	Estimate	Prediction-Vegas	Confidence
SEATTLE @ ATLANTA	-5	-12.4	-7.4	60.1%
PITTSBURGH @ KANSAS CITY	-1.5	-10.5	-9.0	58.0%
GREEN BAY @ DALLAS	-4	-12.0	-8.0	55.0%
HOUSTON @ NEW ENGLAND	-16	-14.7	1.3	49.3%

How to read the table:

• Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the point spread favors the HOME team
• Estimate: NFL Pickles' point spread prediction
• Pred-Vegas: Subtraction: POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover point spread.
• Confidence: The probability that the point spread pick is on the correct side.

2016 NFL Point Spread Picks - Wildcard Playoffs

Pick 1: Detroit +8
Pick 2: Green Bay -4.5

Historically we've done well in the playoffs and specifically the wild card round. Given this year's troublesome record, I'm definitely not as confident as I have been in the past. It doesn't help either that two starting QBs (Oakland and Miami) aren't playing this weekend. The models point to Green Bay, Detroit and Houston (but staying away from this game). We are betting big on Detroit and Green Bay but staying away from the Steelers' massacre of the Dolphins and Houston's bigger upset.

Game	Vegas Line	Estimate	Prediction-Vegas	Confidence
DETROIT @ SEATTLE	-8	-5.3	2.7	59.8%
NY GIANTS @ GREEN BAY	-4.5	-9.5	-5.0	59.0%
OAKLAND @ HOUSTON	-3	-6.0	-3.0	NA
MIAMI @ PITTSBURGH	-10	-3.0	7.0	NA

How to read the table:

• Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the point spread favors the HOME team
• Estimate: NFL Pickles' point spread prediction
• Pred-Vegas: Subtraction: POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover point spread.
• Confidence: The probability that the point spread pick is on the correct side.