2016 NFL Point Spread Picks - Week 9
Pick 1: KC -7 
Pick 2: Pittsburgh -2
Pick 3: NY Jets +3.5
Pick 4: Denver +1
My computer finally broke. 8 years of crunching NFL data and two businesses later, my computer has passed away. Took me a while to get up to speed, still working on a few kinks, but at least I was able to transfer all data and models into another computer. Below are week 9 picks.
Staying at 18% of bankroll, each game gets a $460 bet. Go Cubs Go!...I wish you all successful sports investing this week!
How to read the table:
Pick 2: Pittsburgh -2
Pick 3: NY Jets +3.5
Pick 4: Denver +1
My computer finally broke. 8 years of crunching NFL data and two businesses later, my computer has passed away. Took me a while to get up to speed, still working on a few kinks, but at least I was able to transfer all data and models into another computer. Below are week 9 picks.
Staying at 18% of bankroll, each game gets a $460 bet. Go Cubs Go!...I wish you all successful sports investing this week!
| Game | Vegas Line | Estimate | Prediction-Vegas | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JACKSONVILLE @ KANSAS CITY | -7 | -10.2 | -3.2 | 62.7% |
| PITTSBURGH @ BALTIMORE | 2 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 59.0% |
| NY JETS @ MIAMI | -3.5 | 1.5 | 5.0 | 58.4% |
| DENVER @ OAKLAND | -1 | 3.1 | 4.1 | 58.0% |
| DALLAS @ CLEVELAND | 7.5 | 0.4 | -7.1 | 55.6% |
| CAROLINA @ LOS ANGELES | 3 | 4.9 | 1.9 | 54.3% |
| INDIANAPOLIS @ GREEN BAY | -7.5 | -13.8 | -6.3 | 53.0% |
| BUFFALO @ SEATTLE | -7 | -7.6 | -0.6 | 50.0% |
| NEW ORLEANS @ SAN FRANCISCO | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 | 50.0% |
| PHILADELPHIA @ NY GIANTS | -2.5 | -4.1 | -1.6 | 50.0% |
| TENNESSEE @ SAN DIEGO | -5 | -3.8 | 1.2 | 49.3% |
| DETROIT @ MINNESOTA | -6 | -8.8 | -2.8 | 48.0% |
| ATLANTA @ TAMPA BAY | 5 | 6.3 | 1.3 | NA |
How to read the table:
- Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the point spread favors the HOME team
- Estimate: NFL Pickles' point spread prediction
- Pred-Vegas: Subtraction: POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover point spread.
- Confidence: The probability that the point spread pick is on the correct side.
Comments
This week, we have:
Dolphins (-3.5)
Eagles (+2.5)
Packers/Colts (Under 54)
Vikings/Lions (Over 41)
Good luck!
P.S. GO CUBS GO, indeed! What a great regular season, topped only by an exciting playoff run, topped only by a scintillating World Series, topped only by a nail-biting and historic Game 7!!