NFL Point Spread Picks - Conference Playoffs
Pick 1: Seattle -3.5 
Pick 2: Denver -4.5
UPDATE: Perfect picks for Conference Champioship. Super Bowl pick for members coming tomorrow.
Last week was my worst playoff week in 6 years. It was rough and unexpected. One spread moved in our favor but at the end some touchdowns that shouldn't have been scored were and some that should have been scored were punted away. Needless to say that we still have three games to go. Our exclusive members will get winning picks for the coming 3 games or their money back (too late to get the last 3 remaining picks). Keep calm Jaime, this was stressful. The worst we can do now is double down thinking we can recover faster from last week's loss. Will continue 25% of bankroll for the last 3 games (that's around $600 per game in our tracking) including the super bowl. These will be the last picks of the year so for those that supported me this year I thank you and regardless of the final outcome, I will continue my search for ineffeciencies in the NFL point spread market.
How to read the table:
Pick 2: Denver -4.5
UPDATE: Perfect picks for Conference Champioship. Super Bowl pick for members coming tomorrow.
Last week was my worst playoff week in 6 years. It was rough and unexpected. One spread moved in our favor but at the end some touchdowns that shouldn't have been scored were and some that should have been scored were punted away. Needless to say that we still have three games to go. Our exclusive members will get winning picks for the coming 3 games or their money back (too late to get the last 3 remaining picks). Keep calm Jaime, this was stressful. The worst we can do now is double down thinking we can recover faster from last week's loss. Will continue 25% of bankroll for the last 3 games (that's around $600 per game in our tracking) including the super bowl. These will be the last picks of the year so for those that supported me this year I thank you and regardless of the final outcome, I will continue my search for ineffeciencies in the NFL point spread market.
| Game | Vegas Line | Estimate | Prediction-Vegas | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAN FRANCISCO @ SEATTLE | -3.5 | -8.6 | -5.1 | 59.3% |
| NEW ENGLAND @ DENVER | -4.5 | -10.3 | -5.8 | 57.8% |
How to read the table:
- Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the spread favors the HOME team
- Estimate: NFL pickles spread estimate
- Pred-Vegas: Subtraction of the previous two. POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover spread.
- Confidence: The probability that the spread pick is on the correct side.
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