Unofficial Spread Picks for Week 17

I have never placed bets on the last week of the season. Similar to the off season, there are teams that have already qualified and might sit their QBs or teams that are so at the bottom that it might even be beneficial for them to stay there. Since I believe some players and coaches might not be giving their 100% effort, I've always stayed away from this week. When I started this blog, I wouldn't even run the numbers but I quickly learned that some of you still like to see them. So here are the automated point spread picks from NFLpickles:

Game	Vegas Line	Estimate	Prediction-Vegas	Confidence
CLEVELAND @ PITTSBURGH	-7	-6.1	0.9	63.0%
NY JETS @ MIAMI	-7	-6.5	0.5	63.0%
BALTIMORE @ CINCINNATI	-6.5	-7.2	-0.7	60.0%
SAN FRANCISCO @ ARIZONA	3	6.3	3.3	55.1%
JACKSONVILLE @ INDIANAPOLIS	-11	-15.8	-4.8	54.8%
BUFFALO @ NEW ENGLAND	-9.5	-10.9	-1.4	53.1%
ST LOUIS @ SEATTLE	-10	-12.0	-2.0	53.1%
HOUSTON @ TENNESSEE	-6.5	-9.4	-2.9	51.0%
WASHINGTON @ NY GIANTS	-4	-1.9	2.1	50.0%
DETROIT @ MINNESOTA	-3.5	-2.2	1.3	50.0%
TAMPA BAY @ NEW ORLEANS	-13	-13.3	-0.3	50.0%
CAROLINA @ ATLANTA	7	8.6	1.6	50.0%
KANSAS CITY @ SAN DIEGO	-9.5	-0.3	9.2	49.8%
DENVER @ OAKLAND	13	13.3	0.3	48.4%
PHILADELPHIA @ DALLAS	7.5	-6.0	-13.5	NA

How to read the table:

• Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the point spread favors the HOME team
• Estimate: NFL Pickles' point spread prediction
• Pred-Vegas: Subtraction of the previous two. POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover point spread.
• Confidence: The probability that the point spread pick is on the correct side.