NFL Point Spread Picks Week 11 - 2013
Pick 1: NY Jets +1 
Pick 2: Miami +2.5
Pick 3: Detroit -2.5
Pick 4: Tampa Bay +1.5
Nice recovery last week, lets keep it up. Not many comments for this week as I'm traveling for work. Not really enamored by the picks this week except for Detroit because most teams are failing. Since I stay away from emotions and personal bias, I'm keeping them. Interesting if Miami bounces back given they've been distracted by other things.
We continue to use 18% of bankroll. For week 11 of the NFL, we have a total of 4 predictions for a total of $450 per game. Here are the NFL picks against the spread for week 11 of 2013.
How to read the table:
Pick 2: Miami +2.5
Pick 3: Detroit -2.5
Pick 4: Tampa Bay +1.5
Nice recovery last week, lets keep it up. Not many comments for this week as I'm traveling for work. Not really enamored by the picks this week except for Detroit because most teams are failing. Since I stay away from emotions and personal bias, I'm keeping them. Interesting if Miami bounces back given they've been distracted by other things.
We continue to use 18% of bankroll. For week 11 of the NFL, we have a total of 4 predictions for a total of $450 per game. Here are the NFL picks against the spread for week 11 of 2013.
| Game | Vegas Line | Estimate | Prediction-Vegas | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NY JETS @ BUFFALO | -1 | 3.4 | 4.4 | 63.8% |
| SAN DIEGO @ MIAMI | 2.5 | -1.1 | -3.6 | 61.2% |
| DETROIT @ PITTSBURGH | 2.5 | 6.6 | 4.1 | 59.3% |
| ATLANTA @ TAMPA BAY | 1.5 | -4.3 | -5.8 | 58.5% |
| NEW ENGLAND @ CAROLINA | -1.5 | -11.1 | -9.6 | 54.5% |
| INDIANAPOLIS @ TENNESSEE | 3 | 8.4 | 5.4 | 52.1% |
| OAKLAND @ HOUSTON | -7 | -14.2 | -7.2 | 51.2% |
| SAN FRANCISCO @ NEW ORLEANS | -3.5 | 3.6 | 7.1 | 51.0% |
| BALTIMORE @ CHICAGO | -3 | 0.4 | 3.4 | 50.0% |
| KANSAS CITY @ DENVER | -7.5 | -10.1 | -2.6 | 50.0% |
| MINNESOTA @ SEATTLE | -13 | -13.4 | -0.4 | 50.0% |
| ARIZONA @ JACKSONVILLE | 7 | 18.4 | 11.4 | 49.5% |
| WASHINGTON @ PHILADELPHIA | -3.5 | 4.6 | 8.1 | 48.6% |
| CLEVELAND @ CINCINNATI | -6 | -2.9 | 3.1 | 47.4% |
| GREEN BAY @ NY GIANTS | -6.5 | 13.0 | 19.5 | NA |
How to read the table:
- Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the point spread favors the HOME team
- Estimate: NFL Pickles' point spread prediction
- Pred-Vegas: Subtraction of the previous two. POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover point spread.
- Confidence: The probability that the point spread pick is on the correct side.
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