NFL Point Spread Picks Week 10 - 2013
Pick 1: Baltimore +2 
Pick 2: Minnesota +2.5
Pick 3: Seattle -6.5
Not many handicappers tell it like it is. Although I don't consider myself a handicapper, I essentially do what they do, make NFL picks against the spread. You read it in newsletters and on their websites, "60% ATS every year". We all know what the trick is. Provide 3 variations of the same picks and by pure chance, one will have higher than 60% success. Not here. This started as my own personal notebook on tabulating pick performance and although it's gotten a bit more serious throughout the years, one thing has stayed the same: true pick performance data. I promised transparency from the beginning, and unlike the government, I've kept my promise since then. Ok, enough about how bad the picks are doing this year. Still early and I'm always more optimistic on the last weeks of the season. So without further babbling, here are our NFL picks against the spread for week 10.
We continue to use 18% of bankroll. For week 10 of the NFL, we have a total of 3 predictions for a total of $515 per game. Here are the NFL picks against the spread for week 10 of 2013.
How to read the table:
Pick 2: Minnesota +2.5
Pick 3: Seattle -6.5
Not many handicappers tell it like it is. Although I don't consider myself a handicapper, I essentially do what they do, make NFL picks against the spread. You read it in newsletters and on their websites, "60% ATS every year". We all know what the trick is. Provide 3 variations of the same picks and by pure chance, one will have higher than 60% success. Not here. This started as my own personal notebook on tabulating pick performance and although it's gotten a bit more serious throughout the years, one thing has stayed the same: true pick performance data. I promised transparency from the beginning, and unlike the government, I've kept my promise since then. Ok, enough about how bad the picks are doing this year. Still early and I'm always more optimistic on the last weeks of the season. So without further babbling, here are our NFL picks against the spread for week 10.
We continue to use 18% of bankroll. For week 10 of the NFL, we have a total of 3 predictions for a total of $515 per game. Here are the NFL picks against the spread for week 10 of 2013.
| Game | Vegas Line | Estimate | Prediction-Vegas | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CINCINNATI @ BALTIMORE | 2 | -4.3 | -6.3 | 62.5% |
| WASHINGTON @ MINNESOTA | 2.5 | -1.6 | -4.1 | 61.2% |
| SEATTLE @ ATLANTA | 6.5 | 14.9 | 8.4 | 58.2% |
| DALLAS @ NEW ORLEANS | -7 | -5.2 | 1.8 | 53.2% |
| BUFFALO @ PITTSBURGH | -3.5 | -5.1 | -1.6 | 50.7% |
| HOUSTON @ ARIZONA | -2.5 | 2.8 | 5.3 | 50.5% |
| DETROIT @ CHICAGO | 2.5 | -0.7 | -3.2 | 50.0% |
| MIAMI @ TAMPA BAY | 3 | 5.8 | 2.8 | 50.0% |
| PHILADELPHIA @ GREEN BAY | -1.5 | -10.0 | -8.5 | 50.0% |
| OAKLAND @ NY GIANTS | -7 | -4.0 | -3.0 | 49.8% |
| CAROLINA @ SAN FRANCISCO | -6.5 | -1.5 | 5.0 | 49.1% |
| DENVER @ SAN DIEGO | 7 | 13.5 | 6.5 | 49.1% |
| JACKSONVILLE @ TENNESSEE | -11.5 | -7.0 | 4.5 | 48.2% |
| ST LOUIS @ INDIANAPOLIS | -9.5 | -13.1 | -3.6 | 48.2% |
How to read the table:
- Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the point spread favors the HOME team
- Estimate: NFL Pickles' point spread prediction
- Pred-Vegas: Subtraction of the previous two. POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover point spread.
- Confidence: The probability that the point spread pick is on the correct side.
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