NFL Point Spread Picks Week 9 - 2013

Pick 1: San Diego -1 incorrect NFL point spread pick
Pick 2: Green Bay -11 incorrect NFL point spread pick
Pick 3: Dallas -11 incorrect NFL point spread pick
Pick 4: Kansas City -3 correct NFL point spread pick

Brutal week last one. Picks are down to 50% and ROI is in negative. There's still a long way to go and I've been in worst places. Continue to stay disciplined and focused. Research more on injuries, trends, trades, playbook. Request more help from readers as there are weeks that I have little time to deep dive into each game, i.e. I simply press a button (or two) and run the picks against the latest data.

We continue to use 18% of bankroll. For week 9 of the NFL, we have a total of 4 predictions for a total of $430 per game. Here are the NFL picks against the spread for week 9 of 2013.

GameVegas LineEstimatePrediction-VegasConfidence
SAN DIEGO @ WASHINGTON 1 4.4 3.4 60.3%
CHICAGO @ GREEN BAY -11 -14.9 -3.9 59.5%
MINNESOTA @ DALLAS -11 -16.3 -5.3 58.5%
KANSAS CITY @ BUFFALO 3 5.9 2.9 58.3%
TENNESSEE @ ST LOUIS 3 7.0 4.0 56.3%
PITTSBURGH @ NEW ENGLAND -7 -12.3 -5.3 52.2%
ATLANTA @ CAROLINA -7.5 -12.6 -5.1 52.2%
TAMPA BAY @ SEATTLE -17 -26.4 -9.4 51.7%
PHILADELPHIA @ OAKLAND -2.5 1.1 3.6 50.7%
CINCINNATI @ MIAMI 3 5.6 2.6 50.0%
INDIANAPOLIS @ HOUSTON 3 7.9 4.9 50.0%
BALTIMORE @ CLEVELAND 3 -4.9 -7.9 49.1%
NEW ORLEANS @ NY JETS 6.5 7.0 0.5 48.4%

How to read the table:
  • Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the point spread favors the HOME team
  • Estimate: NFL Pickles' point spread prediction
  • Pred-Vegas: Subtraction of the previous two. POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover point spread.
  • Confidence: The probability that the point spread pick is on the correct side.

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