Week 13 2012 NFL Point Spread Picks

Pick 1: NY Jets -4.5
Pick 2: Houston -5.5
Pick 3: San Diego +1.5
Pick 4: Cleveland PK
Pick 5: Carolina -3

Five picks and teams who should blowout their competition but yet the spread is very tight. Bummer last week but saved from doom by a last minute Baltimore win. Hoping to go back to 60% with these NFL picks.

We continue week 13 at 18% of bankroll which decreased this week because of last week's loss; now to $215 a game

Game	Vegas Line	Estimate	Prediction-Vegas	Confidence
ARIZONA @ NY JETS	-4.5	-7	-2.5	62.5%
HOUSTON @ TENNESSEE	5.5	12.0	6.5	60.1%
CINCINNATI @ SAN DIEGO	1.5	-3	-4.5	58.4%
CLEVELAND @ OAKLAND	0	3	3	58.3%
CAROLINA @ KANSAS CITY	3	7.3	4.3	58.3%
NY GIANTS @ WASHINGTON	2.5	-1.3	-3.8	56.0%
TAMPA BAY @ DENVER	-7	-5.0	2.0	55.8%
JACKSONVILLE @ BUFFALO	-6	-4.8	1.2	55.8%
INDIANAPOLIS @ DETROIT	-4.5	-9.4	-4.9	53.8%
MINNESOTA @ GREEN BAY	-9	-14.1	-5.1	51.6%
SEATTLE @ CHICAGO	-4	-2.6	1.4	50.3%
NEW ORLEANS @ ATLANTA	-3.5	-0.5	3.0	50.3%
PHILADELPHIA @ DALLAS	-9	-6.9	2.1	50.2%
SAN FRANCISCO @ ST LOUIS	7	12.2	5.2	49.8%
NEW ENGLAND @ MIAMI	7.5	8.1	0.6	48.1%
PITTSBURGH @ BALTIMORE	OFF	-7.1

How to read the table:

• Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the spread favors the HOME team
• Estimate: NFL pickles spread estimate
• Pred-Vegas: Subtraction of the previous two. POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover spread.
• Confidence: The probability that the spread pick is on the correct side.