Week 13 2012 NFL Point Spread Picks

Pick 1: NY Jets -4.5 incorrect NFL point spread pick
Pick 2: Houston -5.5 correct NFL point spread pick
Pick 3: San Diego +1.5 incorrect NFL point spread pick
Pick 4: Cleveland PK correct NFL point spread pick
Pick 5: Carolina -3 incorrect NFL point spread pick

Five picks and teams who should blowout their competition but yet the spread is very tight. Bummer last week but saved from doom by a last minute Baltimore win. Hoping to go back to 60% with these NFL picks.

We continue week 13 at 18% of bankroll which decreased this week because of last week's loss; now to $215 a game

GameVegas LineEstimatePrediction-VegasConfidence
ARIZONA @ NY JETS -4.5 -7 -2.5 62.5%
HOUSTON @ TENNESSEE 5.5 12.0 6.5 60.1%
CINCINNATI @ SAN DIEGO 1.5 -3 -4.5 58.4%
CLEVELAND @ OAKLAND 0 3 3 58.3%
CAROLINA @ KANSAS CITY 3 7.3 4.3 58.3%
NY GIANTS @ WASHINGTON 2.5 -1.3 -3.8 56.0%
TAMPA BAY @ DENVER -7 -5.0 2.0 55.8%
JACKSONVILLE @ BUFFALO -6 -4.8 1.2 55.8%
INDIANAPOLIS @ DETROIT -4.5 -9.4 -4.9 53.8%
MINNESOTA @ GREEN BAY -9 -14.1 -5.1 51.6%
SEATTLE @ CHICAGO -4 -2.6 1.4 50.3%
NEW ORLEANS @ ATLANTA -3.5 -0.5 3.0 50.3%
PHILADELPHIA @ DALLAS -9 -6.9 2.1 50.2%
SAN FRANCISCO @ ST LOUIS 7 12.2 5.2 49.8%
NEW ENGLAND @ MIAMI 7.5 8.1 0.6 48.1%
PITTSBURGH @ BALTIMORE OFF -7.1


How to read the table:
  • Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the spread favors the HOME team
  • Estimate: NFL pickles spread estimate
  • Pred-Vegas: Subtraction of the previous two. POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover spread.
  • Confidence: The probability that the spread pick is on the correct side.

2 comments:

Jaime said...

Why didn't the Jets score at the end. Anyone watched the game?

Jeffrey Brzezinski said...

Greene went down on purpose at the one yard line which allowed the Jets to take a couple of knees to run out the clock. Otherwise, Arizona would've had an opportunity to tie the game with a touchdown and two-point conversion.