NFL Spread Picks 2012 Week 3
Pick 1: Green Bay -3
Pick 2: Chicago -7
Pick 3: Oakland +3.5
Thanks for all the encouragement after missing last week's picks. Although we don't fully start counting results until week 5, I've never missed a week in 5 years. Last year was tough but I shouldn't give up and I won't. We've had great years too. I'm changing a few things on the algorithms which will be back-tested and hope to find one that's more successful. I'll try to publish these NFL spread picks a lot sooner than Saturday night in the coming weeks.
This week two NFC North teams come out as having great chances of winning against the spread. I of course like the Chicago pick, go Bears, and if Green Bay's defense looks as solid as last Thursday then I'm confident we'll get at least 2 of 3. Final pick is Oakland underdog at home. That's enough bla, bla, bla which we'll be seeing less of and just concentrate on providing
Here are the NFLpickles free point spread picks for Week 3 of the 2012 NFL season.
How to read the table:
Pick 2: Chicago -7
Pick 3: Oakland +3.5
Thanks for all the encouragement after missing last week's picks. Although we don't fully start counting results until week 5, I've never missed a week in 5 years. Last year was tough but I shouldn't give up and I won't. We've had great years too. I'm changing a few things on the algorithms which will be back-tested and hope to find one that's more successful. I'll try to publish these NFL spread picks a lot sooner than Saturday night in the coming weeks.
This week two NFC North teams come out as having great chances of winning against the spread. I of course like the Chicago pick, go Bears, and if Green Bay's defense looks as solid as last Thursday then I'm confident we'll get at least 2 of 3. Final pick is Oakland underdog at home. That's enough bla, bla, bla which we'll be seeing less of and just concentrate on providing
Here are the NFLpickles free point spread picks for Week 3 of the 2012 NFL season.
| Game | Vegas Line | Estimate | Prediction-Vegas | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GREEN BAY @ SEATTLE | 3 | 5.6 | 2.6 | 64.9% |
| ST LOUIS @ CHICAGO | -7 | -12.6 | -5.6 | 63.9% |
| PITTSBURGH @ OAKLAND | 3.5 | -1.0 | -4.5 | 58.7% |
| JACKSONVILLE @ INDIANAPOLIS | -3 | 1.3 | 4.3 | 58.0% |
| HOUSTON @ DENVER | 2 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 57.1% |
| PHILADELPHIA @ ARIZONA | 3 | 5 | 2.0 | 54.1% |
| DETROIT @ TENNESSEE | 3.5 | 5 | 1.5 | 54.1% |
| TAMPA BAY @ DALLAS | -8 | -13.2 | -5.2 | 51.1% |
| NEW ENGLAND @ BALTIMORE | -2.5 | -0.4 | 2.1 | 50.0% |
| ATLANTA @ SAN DIEGO | -3 | -1.1 | 1.9 | 50.0% |
| KANSAS CITY @ NEW ORLEANS | -8.5 | -18.9 | -10.4 | 49.8% |
| CINCINNATI @ WASHINGTON | -3 | -8.0 | -5.0 | 48.7% |
| BUFFALO @ CLEVELAND | 3 | 5.1 | 2.1 | 48.0% |
| SAN FRANCISCO @ MINNESOTA | 7 | 4 | -3 | 47.3% |
| NY JETS @ MIAMI | 2 | 5 | 3 | 47.0% |
How to read the table:
- Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the spread favors the HOME team
- Estimate: NFL pickles spread estimate
- Pred-Vegas: Subtraction of the previous two. POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover spread.
- Confidence: The probability that the spread pick is on the correct side.
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