2011 Conference Playoffs Spread Picks

Pick 1: New England -7
Pick 2: San Francisco -2.5

Is anyone still paying attention to this? I sure now have lost all hope on the current model. For a second I thought that at least in the playoffs it was continuing to perform well, until last week.

For this year's conference playoff picks, the home teams prevail. I personally without using this would think that the Giants and Patriots would win and cover. Given their experience in these situations, I believe Flacco will choke and Manning will take over. But I have to stick with what the model says and believe a new team and QB will come out of the NFL to go to the Super Bowl.

This week we'll play 25% of whatever is left of the bankroll. Giving us $260 per game for a total of $520.

Here are the NFLpickles free point spread picks for the Conference playoffs of the 2011 NFL season.

Game	Vegas Line	Estimate	Prediction-Vegas	Confidence
BALTIMORE @ NEW ENGLAND	-7	-10	-3	65.6%
NY GIANTS @ SAN FRANCISCO	-2.5	-7.4	-4.9	59.9%

How to read the table:

• Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the spread favors the HOME team
• Estimate: NFL pickles spread estimate
• Pred-Vegas: Subtraction of the previous two. POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover spread.
• Confidence: The probability that the spread pick is on the correct side.

2011 Divisional Playoff Picks

Pick 1: Green Bay -8.5
Pick 2: New Orleans -3.5
Pick 3: New England -13.5
Pick 4: Baltimore -7.5

I had to wait until the playoffs to get my first winning week. Sure feels good and boy did I miss them. It even feels better that it is during the playoffs. The first week was full of excitement and am looking forward to the divisional playoffs next Saturday.

For this year's divisional playoffs nfl point spread picks, I'm surprised all four games came out significant. We're betting all favorite teams to beat the spread. Again this week, home teams are the majority with the exception of the Saints (who by the way had the best ATS record during the regular season). I wanted to stay away from the Giants/Packers game because the Giants are playing really well, but it is hard to bet against Rodgers and the gang. I like the New Orleans pick and New England (Tebow, you had a good run, it's time). The Baltimore/Houston game is going to be all defense and I'm uncertain if they can clear 7.5 points but we'll see.

This week again we'll play 25% of bankroll. Giving us $155 per game for a total of $620 (that's $110 more than last week).

Here are the NFLpickles free point spread picks for the Divisional playoffs of the 2011 NFL season.

Game	Vegas Line	Estimate	Prediction-Vegas	Confidence
NY GIANTS @ GREEN BAY	-8.5	-13.7	-5.2	65.1%
NEW ORLEANS @ SAN FRANCISCO	3.5	7	3.5	64.5%
DENVER @ NEW ENGLAND	-13.5	-17	-3.5	63.0%
HOUSTON @ BALTIMORE	-7.5	-10	-2.5	59.3%

How to read the table:

• Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the spread favors the HOME team
• Estimate: NFL pickles spread estimate
• Pred-Vegas: Subtraction of the previous two. POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover spread.
• Confidence: The probability that the spread pick is on the correct side.

2011 Wildcard Playoffs Picks

Pick 1: Denver +8.5
Pick 2: Houston -3
Pick 3: Giants -3

It's the playoffs! We've had the worst regular season in my 4 years of doing this live. Playoffs usually are good for us so I'm hoping this year won't be different.

For this year's wildcard playoffs nfl point spread picks, we have 3 home teams. First, Denver. I never bought into the Tebow fanfare when they won 5 in a row. Pittsburgh is very dangerous in the playoffs, but I think they'll give Steelers a run for their money. Houston's defense should be able to win this game comfortably. Finally, another experienced playoff team and Eli Manning will take care of the Falcons.

This week and for the rest of the playoffs, we'll play 25% of bankroll. Giving us $170 per game for a total of $510.

Here are the NFLpickles free point spread picks for the Wildcard playoffs of the 2011 NFL season.

Game	Vegas Line	Estimate	Prediction-Vegas	Confidence
PITTSBURGH @ DENVER	8.5	-2.0	-10.5	60.0%
CINCINNATI @ HOUSTON	-3	-4.9	-1.9	58.3%
ATLANTA @ NY GIANTS	-3	-5	-2	57.4%
DETROIT @ NEW ORLEANS	-10.5	-9.8	0.7	50.6%

How to read the table:

• Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the spread favors the HOME team
• Estimate: NFL pickles spread estimate
• Pred-Vegas: Subtraction of the previous two. POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover spread.
• Confidence: The probability that the spread pick is on the correct side.