Pick 2: New England -7
Pick 3: Detroit -4.5
Pick 4: Jacksonville +12
UPDATE: Since I forgot to include the wager, I just assumed 15% bankroll as last week.
No time to talk this week, pure results:
Here are the NFLpickles free point spread picks for Week 6 of the 2011 NFL season.
| Game | Vegas Line | Estimate | Prediction-Vegas | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAROLINA @ ATLANTA | -4 | -15.7 | -11.7 | 68.7% |
| DALLAS @ NEW ENGLAND | -7 | -17.7 | -10.7 | 62.7% |
| SAN FRANCISCO @ DETROIT | -4.5 | -6.3 | -1.8 | 60.5% |
| JACKSONVILLE @ PITTSBURGH | -12 | -10.1 | 1.9 | 59.2% |
| ST LOUIS @ GREEN BAY | -15 | -18.9 | -3.9 | 56.5% |
| NEW ORLEANS @ TAMPA BAY | 4.5 | 7 | 2.5 | 55.7% |
| MIAMI @ NY JETS | -7 | -10.0 | -3.0 | 55.3% |
| HOUSTON @ BALTIMORE | -7.5 | -9.9 | -2.4 | 54.3% |
| CLEVELAND @ OAKLAND | -6 | -11.3 | -5.3 | 51.1% |
| PHILADELPHIA @ WASHINGTON | 1 | -4.3 | -5.3 | 50.9% |
| MINNESOTA @ CHICAGO | -3 | -6 | -3 | 50.5% |
| BUFFALO @ NY GIANTS | -3.5 | 3 | 6.5 | 50.1% |
| INDIANAPOLIS @ CINCINNATI | -7 | -10 | -3 | 49.5% |
How to read the table:
- Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the spread favors the HOME team
- Estimate: NFL pickles spread estimate
- Pred-Vegas: Subtraction of the previous two. POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover spread.
- Confidence: The probability that the spread pick is on the correct side.
3 comments:
Just posted my picks too.
I had a surprising number of them for this early in the season:
Panthers +4
Bears -3
Packers -15
Raiders -5.5
Bills +3
Saints -4
Redskins +1.5
Jaime,
My picks vs yours:
CAR +4
NE -7
DET -4.5
PIT -12
Good luck to you this week!
Added 49ers +5
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