| Game | Vegas Line | Estimate | Prediction-Vegas | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DETROIT @ TAMPA BAY | -1.5 | 2.8 | 4.3 | 61.9% |
| DALLAS @ NY JETS | -4.5 | -9.5 | -5 | 59.7% |
| ATLANTA @ CHICAGO | 3 | 6 | 3 | 58.6% |
| INDIANAPOLIS @ HOUSTON | -8.5 | -10 | -1.5 | 57.3% |
| TENNESSEE @ JACKSONVILLE | -1 | -7.0 | -6.0 | 56.0% |
| PITTSBURGH @ BALTIMORE | -2.5 | 11.9 | 14.4 | 55.9% |
| OAKLAND @ DENVER | -3 | 15.2 | 18.2 | 55.5% |
| PHILADELPHIA @ ST LOUIS | 5 | 11.6 | 6.6 | 54.5% |
| CINCINNATI @ CLEVELAND | -6.5 | 3.1 | 9.6 | 54.2% |
| MINNESOTA @ SAN DIEGO | -8.5 | -3.3 | 5.8 | 52.3% |
| NEW ORLEANS @ GREEN BAY | -4 | -10.0 | -6.0 | 51.4% |
| BUFFALO @ KANSAS CITY | -6 | -5 | 1 | 51.3% |
| NEW ENGLAND @ MIAMI | 7 | 34.1 | 27.1 | 50.4% |
| SEATTLE @ SAN FRANCISCO | -5.5 | -16.2 | -10.7 | 50.3% |
| CAROLINA @ ARIZONA | -7 | -10 | -3 | 50.3% |
| NY GIANTS @ WASHINGTON | 3 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 50.0% |
How to read the table:
- Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the spread favors the HOME team
- Estimate: NFL pickles spread estimate
- Pred-Vegas: Subtraction of the previous two. POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover spread.
- Confidence: The probability that the spread pick is on the correct side.
3 comments:
Although the top picks went 2-2, in general, we had a good week. All picks were at 69% accurate ATS.
Good work with the 1st week. When do you typically post your picks. For example for week 2. Thank you,
Charles, thanks. Wished the top picks would've gone better though, those are the ones that count.
I post Tuesday night or Wednesday night at the latest.
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