2010 NFL Point Spread Picks Week 11

Pick 1: Green Bay -3 correct NFL point spread pick
Pick 2: Buffalo +5.5 correct NFL point spread pick
Pick 3: Denver +10 incorrect NFL point spread pick

I like Green Bay beating down the broken Vikings, Buffalo putting a decent offensive show, and Denver keeping the game close at San Diego. Keeping the 20% bankroll use, gives us a bet of $105 per game. As always, interested in your plays.

Once again, here are the NFLpickles free point spread estimates for Week 11 of 2010.

GameVegas LineEstimatePrediction-VegasConfidence
BUFFALO @ CINCINNATI-5.5-32.557.0%
DENVER @ SAN DIEGO-10-6.43.657.1%
BALTIMORE @ CAROLINA1014.54.554.5%
ATLANTA @ ST LOUIS36.03.054.1%
ARIZONA @ KANSAS CITY-8-13.0-553.8%
HOUSTON @ NY JETS-7-7.1-0.153.8%
OAKLAND @ PITTSBURGH-7-7.3-0.353.8%
CHICAGO @ MIAMI-1-3.9-2.950.8%
DETROIT @ DALLAS-6.5-1.25.350.0%
SEATTLE @ NEW ORLEANS-12-7.24.848.0%

How to read the table:
  • Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the spread favors the HOME team
  • Estimate: NFL pickles spread estimate
  • Pred-Vegas: Subtraction of the previous two. POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover spread.
  • Confidence: The probability that the spread pick is on the correct side.


Anonymous said…
No overlap this week... and I'm not overly excited about any of my picks, either. For some reason, I just can't stop picking the Lions, although I wish I had gotten the +7 opener.

417 Lions +6.5
416 Titans -7
409 Raiders +7.5
Benjamin Mumma said…
Also no overlap this week: I have
Raiders +7
Lions +6
Seahawks +11.5

I also have three overs this week: Ravens Panthers over 37
Lions Cowboys over 46
Rams Falcons over 43

Also have the Jets as a straight up pick as long as the moneyline is appropriate - Not sure since the line is down due to Schaub's status.
I have lots of picks this week:
Falcons -3, Saints -11.5, Eagles -3, Raiders +7.5, Browns +1.5 and Bills +6.

So we overlap on the Bills, and I'm glad to see some others have the Raiders too.
Numbers said…
Raiders were at +9 with the opening line and I managed to miss it. It really seems like Oakland and Seattle are under valued this week.

Raiders +7.5, Packers +3.5, Seahawks +12, Bills +5, Indy +4.

Small Road Dog Parlay with the Colts & Bills on the money line. Never know :)
Jaime said…
Nice week probable