2010 NFL Point Spread Picks Week 11

Pick 1: Green Bay -3 correct NFL point spread pick
Pick 2: Buffalo +5.5 correct NFL point spread pick
Pick 3: Denver +10 incorrect NFL point spread pick

I like Green Bay beating down the broken Vikings, Buffalo putting a decent offensive show, and Denver keeping the game close at San Diego. Keeping the 20% bankroll use, gives us a bet of $105 per game. As always, interested in your plays.

Once again, here are the NFLpickles free point spread estimates for Week 11 of 2010.
































































































































GameVegas LineEstimatePrediction-VegasConfidence
GREEN BAY @ MINNESOTA37.63.660.1%
BUFFALO @ CINCINNATI-5.5-32.557.0%
DENVER @ SAN DIEGO-10-6.43.657.1%
TAMPA BAY @ SAN FRANCISCO-32.25.256.9%
BALTIMORE @ CAROLINA1014.54.554.5%
ATLANTA @ ST LOUIS36.03.054.1%
ARIZONA @ KANSAS CITY-8-13.0-553.8%
HOUSTON @ NY JETS-7-7.1-0.153.8%
OAKLAND @ PITTSBURGH-7-7.3-0.353.8%
WASHINGTON @ TENNESSEE-7-8.3-1.351.1%
INDIANAPOLIS @ NEW ENGLAND-3.5-1.52.050.8%
CHICAGO @ MIAMI-1-3.9-2.950.8%
DETROIT @ DALLAS-6.5-1.25.350.0%
SEATTLE @ NEW ORLEANS-12-7.24.848.0%
CLEVELAND @ JACKSONVILLE-1.54,35.847.5%
NY GIANTS @ PHILADELPHIA-3-7.6-4.647.4%


How to read the table:
  • Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the spread favors the HOME team
  • Estimate: NFL pickles spread estimate
  • Pred-Vegas: Subtraction of the previous two. POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover spread.
  • Confidence: The probability that the spread pick is on the correct side.

5 comments:

dtBy said...

No overlap this week... and I'm not overly excited about any of my picks, either. For some reason, I just can't stop picking the Lions, although I wish I had gotten the +7 opener.

417 Lions +6.5
416 Titans -7
409 Raiders +7.5

Benjamin Mumma said...

Also no overlap this week: I have
Raiders +7
Lions +6
Seahawks +11.5

I also have three overs this week: Ravens Panthers over 37
Lions Cowboys over 46
Rams Falcons over 43

Also have the Jets as a straight up pick as long as the moneyline is appropriate - Not sure since the line is down due to Schaub's status.

Probable said...

I have lots of picks this week:
Falcons -3, Saints -11.5, Eagles -3, Raiders +7.5, Browns +1.5 and Bills +6.

So we overlap on the Bills, and I'm glad to see some others have the Raiders too.

Numbers said...

Raiders were at +9 with the opening line and I managed to miss it. It really seems like Oakland and Seattle are under valued this week.


Raiders +7.5, Packers +3.5, Seahawks +12, Bills +5, Indy +4.

Small Road Dog Parlay with the Colts & Bills on the money line. Never know :)

Jaime said...

Nice week probable