2009 Divisional Point Spread Picks

Pick 1: New Orleans -7 correct NFL point spread pick + $127.27
Pick 2: New York +7 correct NFL point spread pick + $127.27
Pick 3: Dallas +2.5 incorrect NFL point spread pick -$140
Pick 4: Indianapolis -6.5 correct NFL point spread pick + $127.27


If anything has taught us about last week's games is that anything can happen. Throw away your biases, ignore consensus picks, look at the numbers, and make solid picks. You do not have to agree with me, and if you don't, tell me why. Our goal is to come out profitable every playoff week and finish above 100% ROI. Risking 30% of bankroll this week equals $140 per game.

Here are the NFLpickles free point spread predictions for the Divisional Playoff games 2009.










































GameVegas LineEstimatePrediction-VegasConfidence
ARIZONA @ NEW ORLEANS-7-9.3-2.359%
NY JETS @ SAN DIEGO-7-2.24.858%
DALLAS @ MINNESOTA-2.51.51.057%
BALTIMORE @ INDIANAPOLIS-6.5-10.0-3.556%


How to read the table:
  • Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the spread favors the HOME team
  • Estimate: NFL pickles spread estimate
  • Pred-Vegas: Subtraction of the previous two. POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover spread.
  • Confidence: The probability that the spread pick is on the correct side.

3 comments:

Chuck said...

Is there a previous post which outlines the methodology that you use?

Juggler said...

Great Job This Year!!

Jedi said...

When is this weeks picks going in? :)

Great job on the season!!!