Super Bowl 43 will be the 7th Super Bowl with a point spread of 7. The record is 4-2 for the underdog to cover. Now do not go running betting for the underdog, because as you know, 6 is a very low sample to trust. I ran the model and as expected, Pittsburgh gets hammered down probably because of Parker's absences. It predicts the Steelers to win, but by a close margin of about 3. I am going to go with this pick.
Kurt Warner is an experienced player with 2 very good wide receivers. Just throw it far and in the air and one of those guys will catch it right? Not really, Pit's defense is the best in the league. Warner will not make the mistakes needed to lose to Pit by more than 7. The Steelers had very close games this year of which they came out triumphantly. So here's my prediction: Steelers win, but do not cover. Good luck to you all.
Super Bowl Pick: Arizona +7
