Big Spreads in Week 14

Last week, 12 visiting teams covered the point spread on NFL games. The two biggest spreads were covered this week. At the beginning of the season, spreads over 10 were covered about 20% of the time, but in the past two weeks this number changed to just under 60. Underdog teams included in these big spreads have been Detroit, St. Louis, Cincinnati, and Seattle.

This week there are four games with big spreads in favor of the home team. Will the visiting teams cover these spreads? Or will the heavily favorites run by these unfavorable teams?

As of today, four games have double-digit spreads. First, Cincinnati at Indianapolis. The Colts have won their last five games, but none above 7 points. Cincinnati is partly throwing the towel already and the Colts might use this game to blow them out and lift their spirits for the playoffs.

Also receiving double-digits point spread for Week 14 is Cleveland at Tennessee. Las week, Derek Anderson injured himself bringing in the backup's backup for week 14. Ken Dorsey is in, who? One might think that Tennessee should easily cover, but Cleveland this year being so unpredictable, no one knows how this new comer can come out throwing.

The Oakland @ San Diego game opened at 10, and today is was at 9.5. San Diego has lost the last 3 games by less than 6 points. At 4-8, the Chargers do not look that well off than Oakland. The Raiders have had surprising wins against Denver in week 12 and the Jets in week 7. The have kept Carolina and Miami within 9 points in the past 3 weeks. Was this spread estimated based only on their previous game this year when Oakland lost by 10? I'm leaning Oakland, but we'll see what the predictions say.

Finishing off the double-digit spreads on the Week 14 Bodog's NFL point spread is St. Louis at Arizona. The Rams have lost their last six games, four of which were blowouts. Last week, they kept it close with Miami, why? I think Steven Jackson's presence in this team is huge. I think they will give the Cards a hard time (if Jackson plays) this week.

1 comments:

wrongheaded said...

good work StatDawg. Its typically a good idea to pick on the weaklings this time of year, just identify which ones are still "playing" and avoid those games. checkout UFC Odds and lots of other MMA betting action, EZ Money!!!