2008 Week 8 NFL Picks

After sticking to my model's prediction and ignoring what the consensus and others were saying, we had a solid 4-1 last week. The model correctly predicted and probably "knew" that Carolina would be better at home against NO and that New England had not forgotten how to play defense. I regret picking the Colts last week, but only because it was their first week without RB Addai. In any case, I like the way you did not involve emotion in the decision making and I like how the model is picking up trends that people forget about when a team has one or two rough weeks. Again, the objective is then to minimize risk, make solid NFL picks, and in the long run it shall pay off.

Looking at the stock market down today 500 point and the Dow hitting 8500, NFL betting suddenly seems to provide a safe haven for investments.

The NFL Spread Picks of the Week (8) are:

RESULT: 1-4 Better weeks are around the corner


Pick 1: HOME FAVORITE Carolina -4.5

Pick 2: VISITING FAVORITE Washington -7.5


Pick 3: HOME FAVORITE Pittsburgh -3

Pick 4: VISITING FAVORITE San Diego -3

Pick 5: HOME FAVORITE San Francisco -5.5 Hasselbeck is out, pick is in for this week.

As you can see from the table below (Read More), there could be other opportunities although they did not show all the signs I like to see from my stats. Last week, all the 'other good picks' I mentioned were not good at all. So you might want to disregard these or look at them a bit closer. These games include the 3 Home Favorites by a touchdown: Jacksonville, Baltimore, New England, and the visiting underdogs Cincinnati +10. Good Luck!

NFL predictions against the spread and confidence for all games in week 8:

Game	Vegas Spread	Prediction	Confidence
CLEVELAND @ JACKSONVILLE	-7	-7.1	55%
ARIZONA @ CAROLINA	-4.5	-5.9	63%
OAKLAND @ BALTIMORE	-7	-9.1	54%
CINCINNATI @ HOUSTON	-10	-3.6	56%
KANSAS CITY @ NY JETS	-13	-13.5	53%
INDIANAPOLIS @ TENNESSEE	-4	-6.7	53%
TAMPA BAY @ DALLAS	-3.5	-3.5	53%
WASHINGTON @ DETROIT	7.5	13.1	56%
SEATTLE @ SAN FRANCISCO	-5.5	-6.6	56%
SAN DIEGO @ NEW ORLEANS	3	-0.8	43%
NY GIANTS @ PITTSBURGH	-3	-0.2	36%
ST LOUIS @ NEW ENGLAND	-7	-28.7	50%
ATLANTA @ PHILADELPHIA	-9	-11.4	51%
BUFFALO @ MIAMI	1.5	8.9	50%