After going 5-1 last week, I feel comfortable with the amount of data we have for this year in order to account for this year's trends. I have been quite busy lately balancing work and a new baby. This means that I will keep my comments to a minimum. Last week I posted no comments on the games and look at how good we did, for superstition's sake, I will do the same this week. I was still able to run my model, analyze results, and give you the free nfl picks of the week.
In regards to the confidence measure I used to post that some of you have asked for, I have to work on it and measure its true validity. As for now, I suggest an even distribution of capital across the picks you decide to use.
Point Spread NFL Picks, Week 6:
RESULT: 2-3 It's ok, we'll get'em next week.
Pick 1: VISITING UNDERDOG Jacksonville +3

Pick 2: VISITING UNDERDOG Oakland +7.5

Pick 3: VISITING UNDERDOG New England +5.5

Pick 4: VISITING FAVORITE Dallas -5

Pick 5: HOME FAVORITE New York Jets -6

I have to admit that I was also tempted to pick Detroit, a home underdog by 13 against Minnesota. In order to keep the record for the computer picks only, I will ignore it, but personally sounds like a good pick.
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