An NFL spread statistical model can pick up overall trends in previous years and applying that knowledge to the current team trends. That's the secret and that is why I have been successful the past two years. Unfortunately, before week 5, there is not enough data to account for this year's performance.
This week there are some tempting spreads if you are willing to take the -125 odds. These include taking the Colts, Patriots, Chiefs, Seahawks, Buccaneers, or Dolphins Colts and Patriots are favorite by only 3 on the road against Houston and New England, tempting. Cincinnati is underdog by 17 against Dallas, also tempting. The rest I am not sure are worth the odds. But don't jump your boat. That is why I will give for the last week, the DO NOT USE picks of the week:
RESULT: 5-1 We're Back in Business!
Pick 1: Buffalo 0

Pick 2: Washington +5.5

(will Washington's defense shortage hurt them more than Brian Westbrook's abscence? Confidence decreased.)
Pick 3: Tampa Bay +3.5

Pick 4: New England -3

Pick 5: Cincinnati +17

Pick 6: Indianapolis -3

1 comments:
congrats on the week. too bad edwards got injured on the 3rd play of the game. a nice way to enter the much anticipated week 6 picks.
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