2012 NFL Super Bowl Pick

No pick
Finished the playoffs 4-3 with a 1-1 last week. The Baltimore game should have been a no pick given injuries, but I still went ahead with it; lesson learned. Similar to GB/MIN but anyways came out positive with semi-good record. The Super Bowl pick is a tough one. Since the computation didn't come out above 58%, this week the pick is unofficial. You will still receive the computerized result but note that NFLpickles is closing it's books for the season. Thanks everyone for the encouragement and support, we had a great 2012 NFL season against the spread.
GameVegas LineEstimatePrediction-VegasConfidence
SAN FRANCISCO - BALTIMORE 4 6.5 2.5 53.4%


How to read the table:
  • Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the spread favors the HOME team
  • Estimate: NFL pickles spread estimate
  • Pred-Vegas: Subtraction of the previous two. POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover spread.
  • Confidence: The probability that the spread pick is on the correct side.

2012 NFL Conference Playoff Point Spread Picks

Pick 1: San Francisco -3 correct NFL point spread pick
Pick 2: New England -9 incorrect NFL point spread pick
Get the Conference and Super Bowl Picks for only $39

Last week was a wild ride but we came out 3-1. Now we've scored 4-3 during the playoffs and have two solid picks for the NFL Conference games. All subscription holders still have our 100% guarantee but anyone getting the conference and playoff picks cannot obtain this guarantee anymore :(

This week both games are over 59% confidence, get the picks here. As we continue to provide quality NFL playoff computer-based picks against the spread, the conference games are no different. We crunch the numbers, make the call, tabulate results and you gain from our knowledge and experience. We work hard to get the most accurate picks for you so you don't have to. Below are today's point spreads, but continue to monitor them as I'm seeing fluctuations in the last 12 hours. Best of luck to all of us.


GameVegas LineEstimatePrediction-VegasConfidence
SAN FRANCISCO @ ATLANTA 3 60.4%
BALTIMORE @ NEW ENGLAND -9 59.0%


How to read the table:
  • Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the spread favors the HOME team
  • Estimate: NFL pickles spread estimate
  • Pred-Vegas: Subtraction of the previous two. POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover spread.
  • Confidence: The probability that the spread pick is on the correct side.

2012 NFL Divisional Playoffs Point Spread Picks

Pick 1: Seattle +2.5 correct NFL point spread pick
Pick 2: Denver -9 incorrect NFL point spread pick
Pick 3: New England -9.5 correct NFL point spread pick
Pick 4: San Francisco -3 correct NFL point spread pick

Get ALL the 2012 NFL playoff picks against the spread for only $50
100% Guarantee - If all playoff picks go under 50% ATS, I'll give you your money back
(UPDATE: Guarantee no longer valid)

We started the playoffs with a 1-2 record, no good. I found out a bit too late that the Minnesota QB wasn't playing, otherwise that would have been a no pick. Regardless, we still have Divisional, Conference and the Super Bowl picks to make the playoffs a winning streak as we've done for the past 5 years (4 years of winning playoff picks and one year was 50%). This week all 4 NFL Divisional playoff games are over the 58% confidence threshold. Click here if you want access to the rest of the computerized picks, or see our previous post where we explain our guarantee and who we are.



GameVegas LineEstimatePrediction-VegasConfidence
SEATTLE @ ATLANTA -2.5 2.8 5.3 64.7%
BALTIMORE @ DENVER -9 -12 -3 59.0%
HOUSTON @ NEW ENGLAND -9.5 -11.6 -2.1 58.4%
GREEN BAY @ SAN FRANCISCO -3 -7.0 -4.0 58.0%


How to read the table:
  • Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the spread favors the HOME team
  • Estimate: NFL pickles spread estimate
  • Pred-Vegas: Subtraction of the previous two. POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover spread.
  • Confidence: The probability that the spread pick is on the correct side.

2012 Wildcard Playoffs Point Spread Picks

Pick 1: Seattle -3 correct NFL point spread pick
Pick 2: Indianapolis +6.5 incorrect NFL point spread pick
Pick 3: Minnesota +7.5 incorrect NFL point spread pick

Get ALL the 2012 NFL playoff picks against the spread for only $50
100% Guarantee - If all playoff picks go under 50% ATS, I'll give you your money back

We've had a great run this year. For the past 5 years I've been giving you every week free picks generated by an algorithm I created while studying a Ph.D. in Mathematics. I've since improved the formula much with the knowledge attained through the years. I've been studying NFL point spreads for the past 7 years and posting my picks here for the past 5 years, at no cost.

Why am I charging for picks now?
For a few reasons, here they are in no specific order:
  • I like pressure. If I don't perform (under 50% ATS), I lose you don't. 
  • It's a great ROI for anyone interested in sports investing
  • Every year my family tells me I should.
What do you get?
For $50 you will receive all the weekly picks throughout the playoffs. It's not $50 a week, it's $50 for all Wildcard, Divisional, Conference, and Super Bowl games.

Who am I?
Jaime Brugueras, Ph.D. in Statistics from the University of Illinois. I run a company called Mineful, the most powerful automated marketing software in the market. I've been posting my picks since 2006, putting myself out there like no other NFL handicapper. Now after a 60% 2012 season you've witnessed, 56% through 5 years, and a 62% ATS record during the playoffs, I feel confident that this will generate profits for people who seriously bet on NFL games.

What are you waiting for? Get your picks
You have nothing to lose. If you don't win, neither do I.


GameVegas LineEstimatePrediction-VegasConfidence
SEATTLE @ WASHINGTON 3 6.3 3.3 62.3%
INDIANAPOLIS @ BALTIMORE -6.5 -1 5.5 61.0%
MINNESOTA @ GREEN BAY -7.5 -4.5 3 58.1%
CINCINNATI @ HOUSTON -4.5 -5.0 -0.5 50.1%


How to read the table:
  • Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the spread favors the HOME team
  • Estimate: NFL pickles spread estimate
  • Pred-Vegas: Subtraction of the previous two. POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover spread.
  • Confidence: The probability that the spread pick is on the correct side.