<?xml version='1.0' encoding='UTF-8'?><?xml-stylesheet href="http://www.blogger.com/styles/atom.css" type="text/css"?><feed xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom' xmlns:openSearch='http://a9.com/-/spec/opensearchrss/1.0/'><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8580227844881123874.post138159887361157480..comments</id><updated>2011-12-19T13:01:10.576-06:00</updated><category term='2011 NFL Week 16'/><category term='2011 NFL Week 1'/><category term='2008 NFL Week 9'/><category term='2009 NFL Week 16'/><category term='NFL Point Spread Picks'/><category term='2010 NFL Week 11'/><category term='Divisional'/><category term='2009 NFL Week 2'/><category term='2010 NFL Week 3'/><category term='Falcons'/><category term='2008 NFL Week 14'/><category term='Cowboys'/><category term='2011 NFL Week 8'/><category term='2009 NFL Season'/><category term='Chargers'/><category term='My First Post'/><category term='2008 NFL Week 3'/><category term='2009 NFL Week 8'/><category term='Preseason'/><category term='ATS 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NFL Week 15'/><category term='Super Bowl'/><category term='Panthers'/><category term='NFL Statistics'/><category term='2009 NFL Week 6'/><category term='Wild Card'/><category term='NFL Football'/><category term='Randomness'/><category term='2011 NFL Week 5'/><category term='Steelers'/><category term='Pre-season Picks'/><category term='2010 NFL Week 7'/><category term='2008 NFL Week 16'/><category term='2008 NFL Week 7'/><category term='Bills'/><category term='2009 NFL Week 12'/><category term='Texans'/><category term='anchoring'/><category term='2010 NFL Week 16'/><category term='Packers'/><category term='Bengals'/><category term='2010 NFL Week 8'/><category term='2011 NFL Week 17'/><category term='Ravens'/><category term='2011 NFL Week 6'/><category term='2010'/><category term='Raiders'/><category term='2008 NFL Week 12'/><category term='2007 NFL Season'/><category term='Seahawks'/><category term='Patriots'/><category term='2010 NFL Week 2'/><category term='2009 NFL Week 3'/><category term='2011 NFL Week 10'/><category term='Kelly&apos;s Formula'/><category term='2010 NFL Week 9'/><category term='2008 NFL Week 6'/><category term='2010 NFL Week 17'/><category term='NFL picks'/><category term='Cardinals'/><category term='Dolphins'/><category term='2008 NFL Week 11'/><category term='Statistical Model'/><category term='2009 NFL Week 14'/><category term='outcome bias'/><category term='2010 NFL Week 10'/><category term='Buccaneers'/><category term='Point Spread Standings'/><category term='herd effect'/><category term='2009 NFL Week 4'/><category term='2010 NFL Week 1'/><category term='NFL Point Spread Blogs'/><category term='2011 NFL Week 7'/><title type='text'>Comments on Statistics Beats the NFL Point Spread: 2011 NFL Point Spread Picks Week 15</title><link rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#feed' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.nflpickles.com/feeds/138159887361157480/comments/default'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8580227844881123874/138159887361157480/comments/default'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://www.nflpickles.com/2011/12/2011-nfl-point-spread-picks-week-15.html'/><author><name>Jaime</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/16907581331686653661</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image xmlns:gd='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005' rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='24' height='32' src='http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_PsRFotPR1DY/Sdz5Bjrl0LI/AAAAAAAAAGc/K_eO8JBl0w8/s1600-R/Jaime-Brugueras.jpg'/></author><generator version='7.00' uri='http://www.blogger.com'>Blogger</generator><openSearch:totalResults>3</openSearch:totalResults><openSearch:startIndex>1</openSearch:startIndex><openSearch:itemsPerPage>25</openSearch:itemsPerPage><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8580227844881123874.post-6509819454301850975</id><published>2011-12-19T13:01:10.576-06:00</published><updated>2011-12-19T13:01:10.576-06:00</updated><title type='text'>I&amp;#39;m a computer scientist, my specialty is data...</title><content type='html'>I&amp;#39;m a computer scientist, my specialty is data mining &amp;amp; predictive modeling.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;I&amp;#39;m currently building a back-propagation neural network to predict NFL games against the spread.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;I think my program is promising but of course there are many hurdles to jump with such a complex problem.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;I&amp;#39;d be interested to know which variables you&amp;#39;ve found most helpful.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;One thing I&amp;#39;m doing that&amp;#39;s different than you is that you are attempting to predict your own spread and comparing that to the Vegas spread. My program uses the spread itself as a variable --- I&amp;#39;m not trying to predict the spread myself but instead trying to find when and how the spread has been historically imperfect.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Anyways, I could go on for hours, but if you&amp;#39;d like to chat, you can e-mail me at askew.cameron@gmail.com.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Best of luck!&lt;br /&gt;Cameron</content><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8580227844881123874/138159887361157480/comments/default/6509819454301850975'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8580227844881123874/138159887361157480/comments/default/6509819454301850975'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://www.nflpickles.com/2011/12/2011-nfl-point-spread-picks-week-15.html?showComment=1324321270576#c6509819454301850975' title=''/><author><name>Cameron Askew</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/12548274421272715080</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image xmlns:gd='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005' rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:in-reply-to xmlns:thr='http://purl.org/syndication/thread/1.0' href='http://www.nflpickles.com/2011/12/2011-nfl-point-spread-picks-week-15.html' ref='tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8580227844881123874.post-138159887361157480' source='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8580227844881123874/posts/default/138159887361157480' type='text/html'/><gd:extendedProperty xmlns:gd='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005' name='blogger.itemClass' value='pid-87447231'/></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8580227844881123874.post-7034598704794432979</id><published>2011-12-19T11:14:27.629-06:00</published><updated>2011-12-19T11:14:27.629-06:00</updated><title type='text'>This is now starting to become embarrassing.</title><content type='html'>This is now starting to become embarrassing.</content><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8580227844881123874/138159887361157480/comments/default/7034598704794432979'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8580227844881123874/138159887361157480/comments/default/7034598704794432979'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://www.nflpickles.com/2011/12/2011-nfl-point-spread-picks-week-15.html?showComment=1324314867629#c7034598704794432979' title=''/><author><name>Jaime</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/16907581331686653661</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:extendedProperty xmlns:gd='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005' name='OpenSocialUserId' value='18400282171961017922'/><gd:image xmlns:gd='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005' rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='24' height='32' src='http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_PsRFotPR1DY/Sdz5Bjrl0LI/AAAAAAAAAGc/K_eO8JBl0w8/s1600-R/Jaime-Brugueras.jpg'/></author><thr:in-reply-to xmlns:thr='http://purl.org/syndication/thread/1.0' href='http://www.nflpickles.com/2011/12/2011-nfl-point-spread-picks-week-15.html' ref='tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8580227844881123874.post-138159887361157480' source='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8580227844881123874/posts/default/138159887361157480' type='text/html'/><gd:extendedProperty xmlns:gd='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005' name='blogger.itemClass' value='pid-1934615787'/></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8580227844881123874.post-1976605306971533597</id><published>2011-12-17T23:07:29.762-06:00</published><updated>2011-12-17T23:07:29.762-06:00</updated><title type='text'>I got Seahawks +3.5, Redskins +6.5, Texans -6.5, B...</title><content type='html'>I got Seahawks +3.5, Redskins +6.5, Texans -6.5, Buccaneers +7 (already lost) and Saints -7.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Good luck!</content><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8580227844881123874/138159887361157480/comments/default/1976605306971533597'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8580227844881123874/138159887361157480/comments/default/1976605306971533597'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://www.nflpickles.com/2011/12/2011-nfl-point-spread-picks-week-15.html?showComment=1324184849762#c1976605306971533597' title=''/><author><name>probablepicks.com</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/08285913697327878399</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image xmlns:gd='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005' rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:in-reply-to xmlns:thr='http://purl.org/syndication/thread/1.0' href='http://www.nflpickles.com/2011/12/2011-nfl-point-spread-picks-week-15.html' 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