2016 NFL Point Spread Picks - Week 13
Pick 1: Washington +2.5 
Pick 2: New Orleans -5.5
Pick 3: Miami +3.5
Pick 4: Denver -4
Another tough week last week. At this point, I've given up on a good record for the regular season but really hoping to turn it around and have a great ending like last year. If you recall, last year the turnaround happened in week 15 to then go 8-2 during the playoffs. Anyways, this week we're going with 3 road teams and a home favorite.
Staying at 18% of bankroll, each game gets a $350 bet. Lets turn this around now.
How to read the table:
Pick 2: New Orleans -5.5
Pick 3: Miami +3.5
Pick 4: Denver -4
Another tough week last week. At this point, I've given up on a good record for the regular season but really hoping to turn it around and have a great ending like last year. If you recall, last year the turnaround happened in week 15 to then go 8-2 during the playoffs. Anyways, this week we're going with 3 road teams and a home favorite.
Staying at 18% of bankroll, each game gets a $350 bet. Lets turn this around now.
| Game | Vegas Line | Estimate | Prediction-Vegas | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WASHINGTON @ ARIZONA | -2.5 | 0.6 | 3.1 | 60.4% |
| DETROIT @ NEW ORLEANS | -5.5 | -10.8 | -5.3 | 59.8% |
| MIAMI @ BALTIMORE | -3.5 | -0.4 | 3.1 | 58.1% |
| DENVER @ JACKSONVILLE | 4 | 7.9 | 3.9 | 58.1% |
| CAROLINA @ SEATTLE | -6.5 | -12.2 | -5.7 | 55.0% |
| NY GIANTS @ PITTSBURGH | -6 | -3.0 | 3.0 | 54.8% |
| DALLAS @ MINNESOTA | 3.5 | 4.8 | 1.3 | 53.1% |
| TAMPA BAY @ SAN DIEGO | -3.5 | -5.5 | -2.0 | 51.4% |
| HOUSTON @ GREEN BAY | -6.5 | -12.1 | -5.6 | 51.0% |
| BUFFALO @ OAKLAND | -3 | -5.2 | -2.2 | 50.0% |
| SAN FRANCISCO @ CHICAGO | -1.5 | 1.9 | 3.4 | 50.0% |
| KANSAS CITY @ ATLANTA | -3.5 | -10.3 | -9.8 | 49.5% |
| INDIANAPOLIS @ NY JETS | 1 | -1.8 | -2.8 | 49.4% |
| LOS ANGELES @ NEW ENGLAND | -13.5 | -12.7 | 0.8 | 48.3% |
| PHILADELPHIA @ CINCINNATI | 1 | -4.4 | -5.4 | NA |
How to read the table:
- Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the point spread favors the HOME team
- Estimate: NFL Pickles' point spread prediction
- Pred-Vegas: Subtraction: POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover point spread.
- Confidence: The probability that the point spread pick is on the correct side.
Comments
This week, fiftytwopointfour has the most confidence in:
Jaguars (+5)
Chargers/Bucs (Under 47.5)
Cowboys/Vikings (Over 43.5)
Steelers/Giants (Under 49)