Pick 2: NY Giants -3
Pick 3: Buffalo +6
Pick 4: Arizona -10
Pick 5: Carolina +1
As the struggles continues, this week we get 5 visiting teams with above threshold confidence. There are a few that worries me but if I take them out I put emotion into them. Probably Carolina should be removed given Romo but underdogs? I like that, plus I want a Turkey pick. All the others I could probably talk either way about how they 'look good' but until this turns around I'll just avoid the chat.
This week we'll bet 20% of bankroll split evenly across the 5 picks to give us a bet of $300 per game. Good luck everyone and happy Thanksgiving!
|MINNESOTA @ ATLANTA||-1.5||5.4||6.9||61.4%|
|NY GIANTS @ WASHINGTON||3||8.1||5.1||60.6%|
|BUFFALO @ KANSAS CITY||-6||2.1||8.1||58.3%|
|ARIZONA @ SAN FRANCISCO||10||18.8||8.8||57.0%|
|CAROLINA @ DALLAS||1||14.2||13.2||56.2%|
|PITTSBURGH @ SEATTLE||-3.5||-2.6||0.9||55.4%|
|MIAMI @ NY JETS||-3.5||-14.0||-10.5||54.4%|
|CHICAGO @ GREEN BAY||-9||-11.5||-2.5||54.0%|
|NEW ORLEANS @ HOUSTON||-3||-4.3||-1.3||52.7%|
|PHILADELPHIA @ DETROIT||-1||0.4||1.4||50.0%|
|ST LOUIS @ CINCINNATI||-9||-5.0||4.0||50.0%|
|OAKLAND @ TENNESSEE||2||-1.9||-3.9||50.0%|
|NEW ENGLAND @ DENVER||3||10.3||7.3||50.0%|
|SAN DIEGO @ JACKSONVILLE||-4||-2.7||1.3||49.4%|
|TAMPA BAY @ INDIANAPOLIS||-3||-1.7||1.3||49.4%|
|BALTIMORE @ CLEVELAND||-3||5.9||8.9||48.7%|
How to read the table:
- Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the point spread favors the HOME team
- Estimate: NFL Pickles' point spread prediction
- Pred-Vegas: Subtraction: POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover point spread.
- Confidence: The probability that the point spread pick is on the correct side.