Pick 2: Cincinnati -1.5
Pick 3: San Diego -7
Pick 4: Tennessee +1.5
What the hell is wrong with Carolina? One of the best defenses of the league last year. The team has definitely changed from last year so after two weeks in a row of losing that bet, I'll keep away from them until more data is in. Buffalo was close and don't think I should have changed that bet. I should have evaluated the Dallas #MNF and Indianapolis confidence percentage. Like my friend told me during a kids birthday parties as I checked results over my phone, it's about the long run. My response is that I get that, but it's much better to say how many winning seasons one gets.
This week we try to capitalize on the Redskins QB weakness, ride on New England's issues, keep betting our favorite pony and best ATS record Chargers, and two bad teams guessing the home team is slightly better. Cool thing is that we have SNF and MNF games.
Since we are now in week 5, we up to 15% of bankroll split evenly across games giving us a bet of $360 per game. Here is the full list of NFL betting spread predictions:
|SEATTLE @ WASHINGTON||7||13.0||6||61.5%|
|CINCINNATI @ NEW ENGLAND||1.5||4.2||2.7||60.0%|
|NY JETS @ SAN DIEGO||-7||-19.1||-12.1||59.0%|
|CLEVELAND @ TENNESSEE||1.5||-4.2||-6.7||58.6%|
|ATLANTA @ NY GIANTS||-4||-4.9||-0.9||56.3%|
|ST LOUIS @ PHILADELPHIA||-7||-8.0||-1.0||54.6%|
|BALTIMORE @ INDIANAPOLIS||-3.5||-5.2||-1.7||54.4%|
|TAMPA BAY @ NEW ORLEANS||-10||-7.0||3.0||52.7%|
|HOUSTON @ DALLAS||-6||-12.1||-6.1||51.4%|
|CHICAGO @ CAROLINA||-2.5||-4.9||-2.4||50.0%|
|BUFFALO @ DETROIT||-7||-6.5||0.5||50.0%|
|ARIZONA @ DENVER||-7.5||-7.3||0.2||50.0%|
|MINNESOTA @ GREEN BAY||-9||-7.4||1.6||50.0%|
|PITTSBURGH @ JACKSONVILLE||7||4.4||-2.6||49.7%|
|KANSAS CITY @ SAN FRANCISCO||-6.5||-2.2||4.3||48.4%|
How to read the table:
- Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the point spread favors the HOME team
- Estimate: NFL Pickles' point spread prediction
- Pred-Vegas: Subtraction: POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover point spread.
- Confidence: The probability that the point spread pick is on the correct side.