2011 NFL Point Spread Picks Week 13
Pick 1: Buffalo -1.5 
Pick 2: Dallas -4.5
Pick 3: NY Jets -3
I am very disappointed with the results this year. Although a friend told me there is still a lot of football left, and he's right, by week 13 I should've seen signs of success. In other years, we were already up in the 20-30% ROI range. The model might need to be revisited in the off-season, but at this point all I can do is sit back and hope for a great success in the coming weeks. Stay tuned!
This week we'll stay at 18% of bankroll. Giving us $145 per game for a total of $435.
Here are the NFLpickles free point spread picks for Week 13 of the 2011 NFL season.
How to read the table:
Pick 2: Dallas -4.5
Pick 3: NY Jets -3
I am very disappointed with the results this year. Although a friend told me there is still a lot of football left, and he's right, by week 13 I should've seen signs of success. In other years, we were already up in the 20-30% ROI range. The model might need to be revisited in the off-season, but at this point all I can do is sit back and hope for a great success in the coming weeks. Stay tuned!
This week we'll stay at 18% of bankroll. Giving us $145 per game for a total of $435.
Here are the NFLpickles free point spread picks for Week 13 of the 2011 NFL season.
| Game | Vegas Line | Estimate | Prediction-Vegas | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TENNESSEE @ BUFFALO | -1.5 | -3.2 | -1.7 | 60.0% |
| DALLAS @ ARIZONA | 4.5 | 7.9 | 3.4 | 58.7% |
| NY JETS @ WASHINGTON | 3 | 7.1 | 4.1 | 58.7% |
| PHILADELPHIA @ SEATTLE | 3 | 0.9 | -2.1 | 52.5% |
| SAN DIEGO @ JACKSONVILLE | 3 | 1.7 | -1.3 | 52.5% |
| OAKLAND @ MIAMI | -3 | 8.2 | 11.2 | 52.3% |
| CAROLINA @ TAMPA BAY | -3 | -4.9 | -1.9 | 52.0% |
| KANSAS CITY @ CHICAGO | -7 | -9.3 | -2.3 | 52.0% |
| DENVER @ MINNESOTA | -1.5 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 52.0% |
| DETROIT @ NEW ORLEANS | -9 | -7.1 | 1.9 | 51.9% |
| CINCINNATI @ PITTSBURGH | -6.5 | 4.5 | 11.0 | 51.8% |
| GREEN BAY @ NY GIANTS | 6.5 | 17.0 | 10.5 | 51.4% |
| ST LOUIS @ SAN FRANCISCO | -13 | -10 | 3 | 50.5% |
| INDIANAPOLIS @ NEW ENGLAND | -20 | -28.9 | -8.9 | 49.5% |
| ATLANTA @ HOUSTON | 2.5 | 5 | 2.5 | 49.3% |
| BALTIMORE @ CLEVELAND | 6.5 | 10 | 3.5 | 47.0% |
How to read the table:
- Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the spread favors the HOME team
- Estimate: NFL pickles spread estimate
- Pred-Vegas: Subtraction of the previous two. POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover spread.
- Confidence: The probability that the spread pick is on the correct side.
Comments
Full picks: Titans +1.5, Dolphins -3, Saints -8.5, Buccaneers -3, Redskins +3, Cowboys -4.
Might have another one Sunday too. Still just .500 this season.