2011 NFL Point Spread Picks Week 11

Pick 1: NY Giants -4.5 incorrect NFL point spread pick
Pick 2: Buffalo +2 incorrect NFL point spread pick
Pick 3: Seattle +2 correct NFL point spread pick

Although all picks last week went for a whopping 66.7%, the confidence picks still struggled at 50%. Last week was the first week of the second half and this is where the picks should really start going strong. That 66% is a small sign of improvement, but the confidence picks will need to pick up the slack.

This week we'll stay at 18% of bankroll (and stay there for the next week). Giving us $155 per game for a total of $465.

Here are the NFLpickles free point spread picks for Week 11 of the 2011 NFL season.

















































































































GameVegas LineEstimatePrediction-VegasConfidence
PHILADELPHIA @ NY GIANTS-4.5-7-2.562.5%
BUFFALO @ MIAMI-28.110.158.5%
SEATTLE @ ST LOUIS-25.77.758.2%
NY JETS @ DENVER69356.9%
CINCINNATI @ BALTIMORE-7-10-356.8%
TENNESSEE @ ATLANTA-6-3.22.855.6%
DALLAS @ WASHINGTON7.512.44.952.1%
TAMPA BAY @ GREEN BAY-14-22-852.0%
ARIZONA @ SAN FRANCISCO-9.5-12.3-2.851.0%
KANSAS CITY @ NEW ENGLAND-15-22-750.8%
OAKLAND @ MINNESOTA15.44.450.7%
SAN DIEGO @ CHICAGO-3.5-12.550.6%
CAROLINA @ DETROIT-7-8.1-1.150.0%
JACKSONVILLE @ CLEVELAND1-3-449.0%


How to read the table:
  • Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the spread favors the HOME team
  • Estimate: NFL pickles spread estimate
  • Pred-Vegas: Subtraction of the previous two. POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover spread.
  • Confidence: The probability that the spread pick is on the correct side.

Comments

djoliva said…
totally agree with those picks. altho i am also high on the detroit lions game.
Jaime said…
this blows, good week probable