2010 NFL Point Spread Picks Week 12

Pick 1: New England -7
Pick 2: Seattle +1
Pick 3: Philadelphia -3
Pick 4: New Orleans -3.5

Yey finally a winning week last week. Now lets start a streak. Two "NEW" picks for this Thursday that will make you enjoy your turkey even more. Model is finding big wins from big teams against the lesser. New Orleans routs Dallas and New England devours Detroit. Homedog Seattle defends its turf against KC, personally my toughest one to go with. Finally, Philly wins big in Soldier Field getting Cutler to pass 4 INT.

What do you think of buying half points? Maybe a good idea with two games currently at 3.5? At 20% bankroll gives us approximately $85 per game. Lets bring this home

Happy Thanksgiving! Here are the NFLpickles free point spread estimates for Week 12 of 2010.

UPDATE: I found the Eagles/Bears game at -3.

Game	Vegas Line	Estimate	Prediction-Vegas	Confidence
NEW ENGLAND @ DETROIT	7	11.5	4.5	62.2%
KANSAS CITY @ SEATTLE	1	-7.0	-8.0	61.4%
PHILADELPHIA @ CHICAGO	3	6	3	60.1%
NEW ORLEANS @ DALLAS	3.5	13.7	10.2	58.0%
MINNESOTA @ WASHINGTON	-2.5	7.0	9.5	56.4%
PITTSBURGH @ BUFFALO	6.5	9.4	2.9	52.6%
MIAMI @ OAKLAND	-3	14.2	17.2	51.6%
SAN DIEGO @ INDIANAPOLIS	-3	-0.6	2.4	51.6%
ST LOUIS @ DENVER	-4	-5.5	-1.5	51.4%
TENNESSEE @ HOUSTON	-5.5	-2	3.5	51.3%
CAROLINA @ CLEVELAND	-11	-15.9	-4.9	50.9%
TAMPA BAY @ BALTIMORE	-7.5	-11.6	-4.1	50.0%
JACKSONVILLE @ NY GIANTS	-7.5	-9.5	-2.5	49.9%
GREEN BAY @ ATLANTA	-2.5	5.3	7.8	48.7%
CINCINNATI @ NY JETS	-9	-13	-4	48.2%
SAN FRANCISCO @ ARIZONA	1	3.3	2.3	47.3%

How to read the table:

• Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the spread favors the HOME team
• Estimate: NFL pickles spread estimate
• Pred-Vegas: Subtraction of the previous two. POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover spread.
• Confidence: The probability that the spread pick is on the correct side.